{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "843ee3d6-2bd4-4bca-a201-95a01d5b592e",
    "symbol": "POL",
    "name": "Polaris Media ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.241,
    "architecture_energy": 19.023,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.715,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.488,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.9,
        "rotation_up": 36.78,
        "upward_expansion": 57.84,
        "deceleration": 82.09,
        "rotation_down": 25.08,
        "downward_expansion": 19.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        59.213334,
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        59.065784,
        58.343814
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 60.0,
    "trend_reference": 56.854166,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055332,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.388975,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103165,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.714986,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.174439,
    "excess_performance": 0.049445,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055332,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060651,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103165,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046313,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01715,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09873,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174439,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.416986,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34163,
      "relative_activity": 3.040387,
      "balance": 0.416986,
      "dry_up": 1.086157,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.248918,
      "from_high_reference": -0.044586,
      "from_low_reference": 0.355122
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.854166,
      "fair_value_reference": 54.388975,
      "structural_low": 49.196078,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.007324,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047163,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.075032,
        "worst_return": -0.064102,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.01282,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071468,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.082247,
        "worst_return": -0.219595,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.115385,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007774,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.12998,
        "worst_return": -0.196974,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.079146,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.191155,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.260362,
        "worst_return": -0.418655,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.182432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051136,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.08642,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.17406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.090164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.101852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.078689,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 0.173741,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -1.242423,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 11712,
        "typical_volume": 39282.75,
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        "relative_strength": -1.007653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 23.940952,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 11841,
        "typical_volume": 39595.65,
        "trend": 56.09696,
        "fair_value": 53.947364,
        "relative_strength": 0.34737,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 40.108082,
        "energy": 22.452468,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.0,
        "volume": 1384,
        "typical_volume": 10354.55,
        "trend": 56.394019,
        "fair_value": 54.100278,
        "relative_strength": -1.74625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.785465,
        "energy": 20.75363,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.400002,
        "volume": 1430,
        "typical_volume": 9775.45,
        "trend": 56.557107,
        "fair_value": 54.238378,
        "relative_strength": -6.049566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.867599,
        "energy": 12.824591,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.88,
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          58.121691
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.0,
        "volume": 34163,
        "typical_volume": 11236.4,
        "trend": 56.854166,
        "fair_value": 54.388975,
        "relative_strength": -1.714986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.240769,
        "energy": 19.022651,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}