{ "ticker": { "uuid": "844a785a-a484-45bd-9b2b-fe215aacd842", "symbol": "300592", "name": "Huakai Yibai Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.164, "architecture_energy": 26.79, "architecture_maturity": 65.966, "architecture_confidence": 57.888, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.13, "rotation_up": 40.75, "upward_expansion": 63.68, "deceleration": 65.46, "rotation_down": 25.14, "downward_expansion": 16.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.028, 16.061353, 15.002429, 14.461045 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.15, "trend_reference": 13.916686, "distance_from_trend": 0.232334, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.332638, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.014655, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.207746, "excess_performance": 0.200347, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.232334, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230071, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.310147, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308939, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.207746, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.527949, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156623490, "relative_activity": 2.584633, "balance": 0.527949, "dry_up": 2.130864, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160248, "annualized_volatility": 0.847217, "from_high_reference": -0.124553, "from_low_reference": 0.699703 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.916686, "fair_value_reference": 13.332638, "structural_low": 11.020286, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.054225, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.035236, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.317926, "worst_return": -0.225559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.004566, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043421, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.376842, "worst_return": -0.285714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.036008, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012269, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.33421, "worst_return": -0.344183, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.257684, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.207564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.043684, "worst_return": -0.379762, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.033668, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.218807, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.020783, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010442, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.923625, "energy": 80.80554, "activity_lines": [ 17.292695, 15.625021, 14.518866, 14.072661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.709999, "volume": 85565555, "typical_volume": 47775077.65, "trend": 13.631686, "fair_value": 13.396485, "relative_strength": 32.81677, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.575006, "energy": 76.93845, "activity_lines": [ 17.367781, 15.999556, 14.796339, 14.283542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.94, "volume": 178377843, "typical_volume": 54877950.85, "trend": 13.707019, "fair_value": 13.346916, "relative_strength": 4.530759, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.986508, "energy": 30.859426, "activity_lines": [ 15.871285, 15.646454, 14.699146, 14.238917 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.15, "volume": 156623490, "typical_volume": 60597963.35, "trend": 13.916686, "fair_value": 13.332638, "relative_strength": 31.014655, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.163719, "energy": 26.79029, "activity_lines": [ 16.028, 16.061353, 15.002429, 14.461045 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }