{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8456d49f-c294-4932-a93b-8ea0d6edbc2a", "symbol": "PSNL", "name": "Personalis Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.199, "architecture_energy": 50.52, "architecture_maturity": 61.643, "architecture_confidence": 80.286, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.64, "rotation_up": 54.86, "upward_expansion": 80.73, "deceleration": 68.17, "rotation_down": 23.64, "downward_expansion": 7.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.442, 13.157455, 11.390905, 10.292473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.16, "trend_reference": 9.339833, "distance_from_trend": 0.516087, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.059312, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.798799, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 45.714385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.757914, "excess_performance": 0.570461, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.516087, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165125, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.798799, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.394521, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.457144, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.756046, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.757914, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.945679, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12911374, "relative_activity": 0.838764, "balance": 2.945679, "dry_up": 1.561445, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164006, "annualized_volatility": 0.943681, "from_high_reference": -0.136059, "from_low_reference": 2.20362 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.339833, "fair_value_reference": 5.059312, "structural_low": 4.955, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.050083, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.050736, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.555844, "worst_return": -0.291994, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.002463, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.066846, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.274725, "worst_return": -0.414132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.310625, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.215376, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.597738, "worst_return": 0.265849, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 11.78, "volume": 29575828, "typical_volume": 14773636.4, "trend": 8.9775, "fair_value": 4.913479, "relative_strength": 31.936699, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.680877, "energy": 61.205078, "activity_lines": [ 13.528667, 12.671091, 10.603, 9.730882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.66, "volume": 14980380, "typical_volume": 15066687.75, "trend": 9.137833, "fair_value": 4.981684, "relative_strength": 39.245986, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.38889, "energy": 52.38519, "activity_lines": [ 13.223333, 12.816, 10.939667, 9.968462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.16, "volume": 12911374, "typical_volume": 15393329.2, "trend": 9.339833, "fair_value": 5.059312, "relative_strength": 45.714385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.199068, "energy": 50.52034, "activity_lines": [ 13.442, 13.157455, 11.390905, 10.292473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }