{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "845e069e-9433-42f3-aef4-2f109674aec8",
    "symbol": "HAV",
    "name": "Havilah Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.151,
    "architecture_energy": 59.764,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.41,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.003,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.02,
        "rotation_up": 71.71,
        "upward_expansion": 88.19,
        "deceleration": 47.78,
        "rotation_down": 15.23,
        "downward_expansion": 10.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.792333,
        0.769545,
        0.724571,
        0.694366
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.8,
    "trend_reference": 0.663833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.205122,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.311811,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.565658,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 43.15654,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.322314,
    "excess_performance": 0.258608,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205122,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138651,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.565658,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.358761,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.431565,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097708,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322314,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.254195,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 876591,
      "relative_activity": 0.668038,
      "balance": 3.254195,
      "dry_up": 1.088862,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082692,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.359751,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090909,
      "from_low_reference": 3.705882
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.663833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.311811,
      "structural_low": 0.51,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.035088,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006363,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.78,
        "worst_return": -0.339623,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.056841,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051045,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.288462,
        "worst_return": -0.415094,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.009158,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055276,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 1.057692,
        "worst_return": -0.377358,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.052632,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.761905,
        "worst_return": -0.132075,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "return": -0.25,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1476702.7,
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        "relative_strength": 51.138782,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.348982,
        "energy": 61.844913,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.81,
        "volume": 2352781,
        "typical_volume": 1475455.8,
        "trend": 0.649333,
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        "relative_strength": 59.846911,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.688626,
        "energy": 67.889911,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.8,
        "volume": 969970,
        "typical_volume": 1374334.0,
        "trend": 0.656167,
        "fair_value": 0.308574,
        "relative_strength": 50.873514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.16813,
        "energy": 65.094074,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.782,
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          0.712119,
          0.685086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.8,
        "volume": 876591,
        "typical_volume": 1312187.5,
        "trend": 0.663833,
        "fair_value": 0.311811,
        "relative_strength": 43.15654,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.151352,
        "energy": 59.764269,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.792333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}