{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8462bdc0-ae46-456b-83de-e14fd2b2421f", "symbol": "8415", "name": "Brighton-Best International (Taiwan) Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.01, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.34, "architecture_energy": 82.83, "architecture_maturity": 35.023, "architecture_confidence": 65.431, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.82, "rotation_up": 81.65, "upward_expansion": 97.87, "deceleration": 39.23, "rotation_down": 8.85, "downward_expansion": 19.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.486667, 36.466824, 35.194616, 34.479415 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 37.5, "trend_reference": 33.699244, "distance_from_trend": 0.112785, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.699637, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.182979, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.486889, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.150197, "excess_performance": -0.291175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112785, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033064, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.182979, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098846, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.194869, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105742, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.150197, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.989988, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4414018, "relative_activity": 1.224213, "balance": 1.989988, "dry_up": 1.122586, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042083, "annualized_volatility": 0.15605, "from_high_reference": -0.048223, "from_low_reference": 0.179645 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.699244, "fair_value_reference": 31.699637, "structural_low": 31.837111, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.001307, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.026202, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.085305, "worst_return": -0.148987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.044355, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.063521, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.033382, "worst_return": -0.130273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029149, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.060884, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.054598, "worst_return": -0.110618, 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"direction": 77.598481, "energy": 71.479812, "activity_lines": [ 34.76829, 34.256139, 33.673769, 33.353018 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.900002, "volume": 3806457, "typical_volume": 3245466.25, "trend": 33.166397, "fair_value": 31.542544, "relative_strength": -17.302743, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.598476, "energy": 87.049654, "activity_lines": [ 35.967942, 34.964749, 34.118657, 33.670626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.0, "volume": 5036660, "typical_volume": 3434783.25, "trend": 33.327323, "fair_value": 31.592627, "relative_strength": -17.405186, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.662328, "energy": 83.459214, "activity_lines": [ 36.54, 35.436047, 34.45238, 33.917956 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.049999, "volume": 2933236, "typical_volume": 3446195.05, "trend": 33.520056, "fair_value": 31.648597, "relative_strength": -16.315876, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.695498, "energy": 88.260609, "activity_lines": [ 37.22, 36.048777, 34.863569, 34.222644 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 37.5, "volume": 4414018, "typical_volume": 3605595.7, "trend": 33.699244, "fair_value": 31.699637, "relative_strength": -19.486889, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.340155, "energy": 82.82964, "activity_lines": [ 37.486667, 36.466824, 35.194616, 34.479415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }