{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84650401-8e9a-48f8-bd9a-96f5f193938e", "symbol": "MHLXMIRU", "name": "Mahalaxmi Rubtech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.448, "architecture_energy": 47.231, "architecture_maturity": 80.671, "architecture_confidence": 87.892, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.92, "rotation_up": 22.55, "upward_expansion": 7.01, "deceleration": 55.23, "rotation_down": 51.51, "downward_expansion": 78.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 143.660004, 145.004549, 156.349336, 161.794776 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 151.190002, "trend_reference": 170.609667, "distance_from_trend": -0.113825, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 209.367629, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.277873, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.686834, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.225461, "excess_performance": -0.181752, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113825, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112919, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.277873, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151743, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196868, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130606, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225461, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.964645, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 142997, "relative_activity": 3.600221, "balance": 1.964645, "dry_up": 2.295189, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093311, "annualized_volatility": 0.462663, "from_high_reference": -0.382015, "from_low_reference": 0.14616 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 170.609667, "fair_value_reference": 209.367629, "structural_low": 131.910004, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.0222, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.019598, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.964234, "worst_return": -0.214541, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.055225, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.063125, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.389179, "worst_return": -0.187544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.178804, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.19178, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.609648, "worst_return": -0.270902, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 144.724003, 157.093638, 165.183144, 170.367141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 137.960007, "volume": 54806, "typical_volume": 34944.65, "trend": 176.776334, "fair_value": 209.847821, "relative_strength": -27.528771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.080832, "energy": 83.730816, "activity_lines": [ 140.060005, 152.111639, 162.319049, 167.69899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 139.580002, "volume": 42536, "typical_volume": 36687.3, "trend": 174.473667, "fair_value": 209.575898, "relative_strength": -24.39778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.381423, "energy": 81.104277, "activity_lines": [ 138.692005, 148.299276, 159.776335, 165.299227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 141.270004, "volume": 124311, "typical_volume": 33534.5, "trend": 172.305334, "fair_value": 209.398462, "relative_strength": -24.862424, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.340116, "energy": 74.387139, "activity_lines": [ 139.834671, 145.456185, 157.539764, 163.157055 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 151.190002, "volume": 142997, "typical_volume": 39718.95, "trend": 170.609667, "fair_value": 209.367629, "relative_strength": -19.686834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.447986, "energy": 47.230553, "activity_lines": [ 143.660004, 145.004549, 156.349336, 161.794776 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }