{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84690d9b-5de4-48b3-a3ef-ee44a26b5c3c", "symbol": "688798", "name": "Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.631, "architecture_energy": 79.278, "architecture_maturity": 19.729, "architecture_confidence": 78.716, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.23, "rotation_up": 8.36, "upward_expansion": 18.18, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 78.81, "downward_expansion": 93.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.756, 61.067818, 64.920961, 66.810064 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 56.220001, "trend_reference": 69.978364, "distance_from_trend": -0.196609, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 67.356641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.165338, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.018511, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.313884, "excess_performance": -0.27068, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.196609, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052131, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.165338, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.240185, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106459, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.313884, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.239469, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12986004, "relative_activity": 0.847087, "balance": 1.239469, "dry_up": 1.230654, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118012, "annualized_volatility": 0.422879, "from_high_reference": -0.45084, "from_low_reference": 0.080946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.978364, "fair_value_reference": 67.356641, "structural_low": 52.009998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.025607, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.002025, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.745473, "worst_return": -0.128067, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.077269, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.078156, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.584135, "worst_return": -0.227556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.130186, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.094058, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.785496, "worst_return": -0.2375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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-67.598225, "energy": 42.945118, "activity_lines": [ 66.724666, 67.988305, 68.725199, 70.005494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.400002, "volume": 19761379, "typical_volume": 15007277.3, "trend": 71.340326, "fair_value": 67.517825, "relative_strength": -24.881282, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.153422, "energy": 67.716147, "activity_lines": [ 62.232, 65.274909, 67.337651, 68.876921 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.709999, "volume": 13409065, "typical_volume": 15141730.45, "trend": 70.62596, "fair_value": 67.423835, "relative_strength": -25.796692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.679715, "energy": 80.566992, "activity_lines": [ 58.618, 62.766182, 65.968103, 67.739481 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.220001, "volume": 12986004, "typical_volume": 15330182.05, "trend": 69.978364, "fair_value": 67.356641, "relative_strength": -24.018511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.631408, "energy": 79.277844, "activity_lines": [ 56.756, 61.067818, 64.920961, 66.810064 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }