{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8478f241-838f-4cb4-b1c4-4f23b7f2e083", "symbol": "URTY", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST ULTRAPRO RUSSELL2000", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.239, "architecture_energy": 33.977, "architecture_maturity": 54.838, "architecture_confidence": 95.253, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.53, "rotation_up": 37.77, "upward_expansion": 63.16, "deceleration": 87.15, "rotation_down": 25.88, "downward_expansion": 15.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.111333, 82.276991, 79.32734, 74.696051 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 86.88, "trend_reference": 69.755467, "distance_from_trend": 0.245494, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.136518, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.768135, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.783035, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.342067, "excess_performance": 0.216442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.245494, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148279, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.768135, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113877, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.24783, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055016, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.342067, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.572551, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1863260, "relative_activity": 0.417029, "balance": 1.572551, "dry_up": 0.492513, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095335, "annualized_volatility": 0.491299, "from_high_reference": -0.028134, "from_low_reference": 1.152491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.755467, "fair_value_reference": 49.136518, "structural_low": 46.15, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 48.18608, "relative_strength": 27.084504, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.165378, "energy": 60.154201, "activity_lines": [ 83.852079, 81.278186, 75.269919, 71.159211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 81.5, "volume": 2479884, "typical_volume": 5489111.15, "trend": 67.399164, "fair_value": 48.42075, "relative_strength": 25.239628, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.818292, "energy": 48.791482, "activity_lines": [ 83.198141, 81.702266, 76.450575, 72.123136 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 78.88, "volume": 1974242, "typical_volume": 5107179.35, "trend": 68.141863, "fair_value": 48.630833, "relative_strength": 20.918883, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.012118, "energy": 39.795166, "activity_lines": [ 81.637333, 81.545756, 77.286665, 72.863835 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.6, "volume": 2484687, "typical_volume": 4685267.3, "trend": 68.938792, "fair_value": 48.849905, "relative_strength": 18.061633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.527018, "energy": 28.21363, "activity_lines": [ 80.285333, 81.183762, 77.978103, 73.538553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.88, "volume": 1863260, "typical_volume": 4467937.7, "trend": 69.755467, "fair_value": 49.136518, "relative_strength": 24.783035, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.238921, "energy": 33.977348, "activity_lines": [ 82.111333, 82.276991, 79.32734, 74.696051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }