{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84935af5-8201-4d7d-abc9-b34f63aaaa74", "symbol": "4768", "name": "Ingentec Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.116, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.806, "architecture_energy": 66.351, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.282, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.97, "rotation_up": 15.12, "upward_expansion": 14.54, "deceleration": 40.3, "rotation_down": 65.08, "downward_expansion": 87.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 296.6, 316.427273, 363.92381, 390.093548 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 298.0, "trend_reference": 412.083333, "distance_from_trend": -0.276845, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 222.087643, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.341813, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.703387, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.246523, "excess_performance": -0.687895, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.276845, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.341813, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.759817, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.347034, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.502167, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.246523, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.164306, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1805471, "relative_activity": 0.345255, "balance": 1.164306, "dry_up": 0.396938, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203536, "annualized_volatility": 0.645704, "from_high_reference": -0.490598, "from_low_reference": 1.879227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 412.083333, "fair_value_reference": 222.087643, "structural_low": 252.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.01836, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032932, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.579487, "worst_return": -0.222973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.047437, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.109692, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.748718, "worst_return": -0.354167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.6985, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.537232, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.091922, "worst_return": -0.461538, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"energy": 74.742951, "activity_lines": [ 341.633333, 370.2, 411.383333, 421.343011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 326.5, "volume": 2287459, "typical_volume": 5821830.3, "trend": 422.983333, "fair_value": 219.851402, "relative_strength": -24.10529, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.220944, "energy": 70.411372, "activity_lines": [ 333.133333, 357.918182, 401.035714, 415.177419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 280.0, "volume": 2603659, "typical_volume": 5801385.35, "trend": 419.55, "fair_value": 220.387155, "relative_strength": -34.341103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.777679, "energy": 73.927524, "activity_lines": [ 312.833333, 339.072727, 386.828571, 405.952688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 292.0, "volume": 1606383, "typical_volume": 5465661.45, "trend": 416.266667, "fair_value": 221.171286, "relative_strength": -33.458835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.29311, "energy": 73.16902, "activity_lines": [ 301.5, 325.590909, 374.62619, 397.723656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 298.0, "volume": 1805471, "typical_volume": 5229385.85, "trend": 412.083333, "fair_value": 222.087643, "relative_strength": -34.703387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.805507, "energy": 66.350613, "activity_lines": [ 296.6, 316.427273, 363.92381, 390.093548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }