{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84a1d426-3812-478a-9764-4ad7d6d68203", "symbol": "MVEU", "name": "iShares Edge MSCI Europe Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.859, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.867, "architecture_energy": 95.744, "architecture_maturity": 37.083, "architecture_confidence": 64.223, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.21, "rotation_up": 88.69, "upward_expansion": 99.73, "deceleration": 39.1, "rotation_down": 8.67, "downward_expansion": 21.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.827333, 69.08, 68.009, 67.382151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 70.82, "trend_reference": 66.589334, "distance_from_trend": 0.063534, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.673531, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186791, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.905996, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08603, "excess_performance": 0.003146, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063534, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027307, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.186791, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069864, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01906, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003119, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08603, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.456426, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21, "relative_activity": 0.018784, "balance": 1.456426, "dry_up": 1.657648, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0121, "annualized_volatility": 0.105739, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.157946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.589334, "fair_value_reference": 59.673531, "structural_low": 62.470001, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"relative_strength": -2.995037, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.671745, "energy": 91.094128, "activity_lines": [ 68.708666, 68.148182, 67.32581, 66.849054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.989998, "volume": 654, "typical_volume": 1137.45, "trend": 66.381667, "fair_value": 59.546928, "relative_strength": -1.855668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.54822, "energy": 91.067372, "activity_lines": [ 69.203333, 68.568909, 67.640333, 67.095807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.82, "volume": 21, "typical_volume": 1118.0, "trend": 66.589334, "fair_value": 59.673531, "relative_strength": -1.905996, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.86699, "energy": 95.744486, "activity_lines": [ 69.827333, 69.08, 68.009, 67.382151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }