{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84b580b6-766c-4607-9311-d5b8c699b312", "symbol": "KO", "name": "The Coca-Cola Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.752, "architecture_energy": 50.593, "architecture_maturity": 37.602, "architecture_confidence": 80.42, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.42, "rotation_up": 63.03, "upward_expansion": 79.79, "deceleration": 57.79, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 6.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.264667, 84.021589, 82.011793, 80.606775 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 87.05, "trend_reference": 78.729134, "distance_from_trend": 0.10569, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 65.315419, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332763, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.839209, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116293, "excess_performance": -0.009331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10569, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059518, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332763, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098452, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048392, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069526, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116293, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.588241, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80941531, "relative_activity": 1.016864, "balance": 1.588241, "dry_up": 1.100254, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045194, "annualized_volatility": 0.187808, "from_high_reference": -0.042565, "from_low_reference": 0.359462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.729134, "fair_value_reference": 65.315419, "structural_low": 73.587963, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.008728, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.014637, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.090229, "worst_return": -0.067837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.001272, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.05974, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.106083, "worst_return": -0.101484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034142, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.045371, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.183285, "worst_return": -0.047438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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82.588667, 81.796792, 80.154828, 79.046374 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 82.25, "volume": 65353921, "typical_volume": 78217097.55, "trend": 77.500372, "fair_value": 64.91119, "relative_strength": 3.891665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.463713, "energy": 41.563552, "activity_lines": [ 82.591333, 81.987798, 80.488765, 79.381419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.59, "volume": 108984225, "typical_volume": 79858018.6, "trend": 78.146613, "fair_value": 65.116385, "relative_strength": 9.272899, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.990751, "energy": 51.25773, "activity_lines": [ 84.183333, 83.114151, 81.301597, 80.032363 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.05, "volume": 80941531, "typical_volume": 79599195.1, "trend": 78.729134, "fair_value": 65.315419, "relative_strength": 4.839209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.752403, "energy": 50.593005, "activity_lines": [ 85.264667, 84.021589, 82.011793, 80.606775 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }