{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84b9a3cc-5d43-4b5c-a12d-3d7e055cbc43", "symbol": "1J4", "name": "JEP Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.679, "architecture_energy": 15.424, "architecture_maturity": 83.948, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.91, "rotation_up": 19.54, "upward_expansion": 46.39, "deceleration": 87.83, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 24.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.563, 0.576, 0.578024, 0.523043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.56, "trend_reference": 0.45, "distance_from_trend": 0.244444, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.3225, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.736434, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 30.184583, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.0, "excess_performance": 0.845165, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.244444, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.313869, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.736434, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.301846, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.387775, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.749558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19900, "relative_activity": 0.011733, "balance": 2.749558, "dry_up": 0.158911, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157967, "annualized_volatility": 0.680101, "from_high_reference": -0.337278, "from_low_reference": 1.382979 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.45, "fair_value_reference": 0.3225, "structural_low": 0.265, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.000909, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021966, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.66129, "worst_return": -0.081967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015152, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02403, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.181818, "worst_return": -0.09375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.217391, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.171043, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.410714, "worst_return": -0.121212, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.252635, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.144697, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.717391, "worst_return": -0.212121, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045455, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054545, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.019231, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", 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42.387162, "energy": 34.955684, "activity_lines": [ 0.602333, 0.623, 0.554524, 0.489022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.535, "volume": 401200, "typical_volume": 1716695.0, "trend": 0.420333, "fair_value": 0.317596, "relative_strength": 32.13735, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.114392, "energy": 25.929054, "activity_lines": [ 0.58, 0.605545, 0.560143, 0.497 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.575, "volume": 293100, "typical_volume": 1691180.0, "trend": 0.430667, "fair_value": 0.319295, "relative_strength": 38.704474, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.188899, "energy": 23.102692, "activity_lines": [ 0.575333, 0.595, 0.568429, 0.506978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.56, "volume": 363900, "typical_volume": 1701080.0, "trend": 0.440333, "fair_value": 0.320897, "relative_strength": 32.933536, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.169988, "energy": 18.722198, "activity_lines": [ 0.568333, 0.584273, 0.573905, 0.515323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.56, "volume": 19900, "typical_volume": 1696075.0, "trend": 0.45, "fair_value": 0.3225, "relative_strength": 30.184583, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.679479, "energy": 15.423791, "activity_lines": [ 0.563, 0.576, 0.578024, 0.523043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }