{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84be3f1d-a9c1-42b5-9f85-0cdaf0b7e933", "symbol": "HERE", "name": "Here Group Limited", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.794, "architecture_energy": 52.673, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.55, "rotation_up": 28.31, "upward_expansion": 9.08, "deceleration": 57.93, "rotation_down": 49.92, "downward_expansion": 82.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.887333, 1.929455, 2.212048, 2.580086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.89, "trend_reference": 3.147667, "distance_from_trend": -0.399555, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.872286, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.511916, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -66.16674, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.596154, "excess_performance": -0.783607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.399555, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257567, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.511916, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.273677, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.661667, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086632, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.596154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.416974, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91176, "relative_activity": 0.1547, "balance": 0.416974, "dry_up": 0.497137, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220244, "annualized_volatility": 0.781966, "from_high_reference": -0.861335, "from_low_reference": 0.26 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.147667, "fair_value_reference": 3.872286, "structural_low": 1.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.045758, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060285, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.456522, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.073413, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.055357, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.06556, "worst_return": -0.54818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.000316, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.180983, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.580718, "worst_return": -0.581349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -68.491323, "energy": 61.312013, "activity_lines": [ 1.996, 2.089091, 2.54981, 2.976409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.89, "volume": 773232, "typical_volume": 672157.95, "trend": 3.479333, "fair_value": 3.971822, "relative_strength": -67.816896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.351885, "energy": 60.093646, "activity_lines": [ 1.941333, 2.018727, 2.44719, 2.866946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.84, "volume": 167423, "typical_volume": 657911.4, "trend": 3.361667, "fair_value": 3.94208, "relative_strength": -67.081102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.588426, "energy": 59.618565, "activity_lines": [ 1.892, 1.964909, 2.353048, 2.761183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.92, "volume": 140163, "typical_volume": 628794.9, "trend": 3.255333, "fair_value": 3.90613, "relative_strength": -64.872555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.725374, "energy": 55.335136, "activity_lines": [ 1.888, 1.946, 2.279238, 2.668172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.89, "volume": 91176, "typical_volume": 589372.2, "trend": 3.147667, "fair_value": 3.872286, "relative_strength": -66.16674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.793726, "energy": 52.673402, "activity_lines": [ 1.887333, 1.929455, 2.212048, 2.580086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }