{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84c0b685-44aa-4667-924f-bb7fc22ba6ad",
    "symbol": "VISC",
    "name": "Gruvaktiebolaget Viscaria",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.968,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 9.094,
    "architecture_energy": 11.225,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.301,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.197,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 72.7,
        "rotation_up": 33.68,
        "upward_expansion": 34.8,
        "deceleration": 30.94,
        "rotation_down": 24.94,
        "downward_expansion": 45.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.049333,
        16.709455,
        16.647238,
        16.674645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 18.9,
    "trend_reference": 17.123333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.103757,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.982465,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.054171,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.620976,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.032787,
    "excess_performance": -0.028707,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103757,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01798,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054171,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098389,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00621,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060066,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032787,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.503273,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4955158,
      "relative_activity": 1.451891,
      "balance": 1.503273,
      "dry_up": 1.040326,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090354,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.506453,
      "from_high_reference": -0.171053,
      "from_low_reference": 0.715064
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.123333,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.982465,
      "structural_low": 12.9,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.035842,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046176,
        "regime_survival": 0.52381,
        "best_return": 0.230769,
        "worst_return": -0.171429,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.108912,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.104349,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.13073,
        "worst_return": -0.243457,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.098468,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.172163,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.433757,
        "worst_return": -0.247887,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.117539,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.243364,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.316667,
        "worst_return": -0.226432,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018362,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.147132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.141026,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.028235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.394799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.477977,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.124819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.203271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.240715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.096288,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 412189.45,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 20.585286,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4368736.2,
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        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 40.775866,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3479027.05,
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        "fair_value": 20.157722,
        "relative_strength": -14.588268,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 16.504125,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.0,
        "volume": 3533935,
        "typical_volume": 3492528.15,
        "trend": 17.265,
        "fair_value": 20.103876,
        "relative_strength": -16.730964,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.660103,
        "energy": 26.297415,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.021333,
          16.153454,
          16.364667,
          16.656882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.059999,
        "volume": 2802971,
        "typical_volume": 3470158.1,
        "trend": 17.196333,
        "fair_value": 20.050414,
        "relative_strength": -11.983439,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.437463,
        "energy": 22.085152,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.964,
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          16.341524,
          16.57914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.860001,
        "volume": 2910043,
        "typical_volume": 3466757.75,
        "trend": 17.083333,
        "fair_value": 20.007209,
        "relative_strength": -8.586897,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.783445,
        "energy": 23.361413,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.178667,
          16.218545,
          16.399619,
          16.557441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.9,
        "volume": 4955158,
        "typical_volume": 3412899.45,
        "trend": 17.123333,
        "fair_value": 19.982465,
        "relative_strength": 0.620976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 9.093968,
        "energy": 11.224944,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.049333,
          16.709455,
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          16.674645
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}