{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84c19792-8d56-4bff-a0a6-891e1c444268", "symbol": "ESLT", "name": "Elbit Systems Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 17.606, "architecture_energy": 13.799, "architecture_maturity": 17.785, "architecture_confidence": 66.898, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.83, "rotation_up": 49.27, "upward_expansion": 33.72, "deceleration": 40.61, "rotation_down": 22.77, "downward_expansion": 22.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 815.055333, 798.210904, 803.250095, 810.033739 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 859.14, "trend_reference": 801.724732, "distance_from_trend": 0.071615, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 396.519775, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.166702, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.934528, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.293322, "excess_performance": 0.105868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071615, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125786, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.166702, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084873, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.119345, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001193, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.293322, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.005953, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 367541, "relative_activity": 0.712204, "balance": 1.005953, "dry_up": 0.745052, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087566, "annualized_volatility": 0.535947, "from_high_reference": -0.153535, "from_low_reference": 0.992458 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 801.724732, "fair_value_reference": 396.519775, 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741.55, "volume": 401521, "typical_volume": 667338.0, "trend": 780.272647, "fair_value": 384.481727, "relative_strength": 2.584129, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.299572, "energy": 39.585739, "activity_lines": [ 756.225393, 778.490805, 801.788318, 802.079591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 820.21, "volume": 386119, "typical_volume": 604882.2, "trend": 788.596984, "fair_value": 388.461536, "relative_strength": 14.460934, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.019707, "energy": 12.515086, "activity_lines": [ 776.326, 784.521517, 800.944174, 804.656194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 808.65, "volume": 382789, "typical_volume": 565971.8, "trend": 795.841064, "fair_value": 392.325439, "relative_strength": 11.542886, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.746777, "energy": 5.907483, "activity_lines": [ 790.373333, 787.156417, 799.546362, 805.949937 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 859.14, "volume": 367541, "typical_volume": 516061.1, "trend": 801.724732, "fair_value": 396.519775, "relative_strength": 11.934528, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.606464, "energy": 13.799358, "activity_lines": [ 815.055333, 798.210904, 803.250095, 810.033739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }