{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84c451ac-8d98-4657-a2bb-fcb426c04956", "symbol": "000926", "name": "Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 66.122, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.198, "architecture_energy": 10.793, "architecture_maturity": 27.479, "architecture_confidence": 66.858, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.02, "rotation_up": 26.66, "upward_expansion": 16.51, "deceleration": 38.86, "rotation_down": 32.55, "downward_expansion": 61.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.071333, 2.045091, 2.07881, 2.09929 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.16, "trend_reference": 2.143333, "distance_from_trend": 0.007776, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.514465, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.14097, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.510348, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044248, "excess_performance": -0.051648, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007776, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060079, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.14097, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03316, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125103, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161686, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044248, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.178745, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 157543279, "relative_activity": 1.015054, "balance": 2.178745, "dry_up": 0.949063, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102208, "annualized_volatility": 0.483323, "from_high_reference": -0.381089, "from_low_reference": 0.148936 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.143333, "fair_value_reference": 2.514465, "structural_low": 1.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.005917, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.009904, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.291667, "worst_return": -0.168269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.013794, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.037925, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.276284, "worst_return": -0.216346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037498, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.108663, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.11588, "worst_return": -0.192236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 1.96, "volume": 116383428, "typical_volume": 155879883.55, "trend": 2.153667, "fair_value": 2.527275, "relative_strength": -19.254246, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.958245, "energy": 43.946257, "activity_lines": [ 1.981333, 2.034182, 2.069571, 2.101871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.1, "volume": 153338411, "typical_volume": 157295032.35, "trend": 2.146333, "fair_value": 2.52138, "relative_strength": -11.344805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.043844, "energy": 25.017513, "activity_lines": [ 2.022, 2.034545, 2.070952, 2.098409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.16, "volume": 157543279, "typical_volume": 155206800.65, "trend": 2.143333, "fair_value": 2.514465, "relative_strength": -12.510348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.198194, "energy": 10.793076, "activity_lines": [ 2.071333, 2.045091, 2.07881, 2.09929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }