{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84cfd830-d416-48c8-b1de-63c51d2a94c7",
    "symbol": "688669",
    "name": "Polyrocks Chemical Co.,LTD",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.414,
    "architecture_energy": 24.871,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.374,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.97,
        "rotation_up": 24.22,
        "upward_expansion": 62.12,
        "deceleration": 91.17,
        "rotation_down": 28.43,
        "downward_expansion": 16.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.956,
        75.045818,
        63.234428,
        54.194021
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 69.5,
    "trend_reference": 43.776666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.587604,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.722744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 2.199412,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 99.304511,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.711666,
    "excess_performance": 1.75487,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.587604,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.61617,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.199412,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.178082,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.993045,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.601095,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.711666,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.078832,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24101855,
      "relative_activity": 1.269094,
      "balance": 1.078832,
      "dry_up": 1.285597,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.260354,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.966175,
      "from_high_reference": -0.413502,
      "from_low_reference": 2.900112
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.776666,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.722744,
      "structural_low": 24.299999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.00265,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01732,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.201677,
        "worst_return": -0.093824,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.040837,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029415,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.130513,
        "worst_return": -0.211548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.003058,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022779,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.294649,
        "worst_return": -0.11557,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.044887,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039956,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.28714,
        "worst_return": -0.376914,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039028,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.108148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.14063,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005803,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.599998,
        "volume": 22431470,
        "typical_volume": 18183072.0,
        "trend": 42.234666,
        "fair_value": 21.392038,
        "relative_strength": 77.342178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.270902,
        "energy": 35.020899,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.5,
        "volume": 24101855,
        "typical_volume": 18991381.2,
        "trend": 43.776666,
        "fair_value": 21.722744,
        "relative_strength": 99.304511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.414493,
        "energy": 24.871249,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}