{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84d05c88-4e23-4b21-afdd-fe270e45e08c", "symbol": "9521", "name": "INMAR Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -38.262, "architecture_energy": 64.001, "architecture_maturity": 11.873, "architecture_confidence": 70.919, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.23, "rotation_up": 16.6, "upward_expansion": 22.32, "deceleration": 43.77, "rotation_down": 72.32, "downward_expansion": 63.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.02, 19.528909, 20.456952, 20.471269 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.4, "trend_reference": 20.386863, "distance_from_trend": -0.048407, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.578063, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057248, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.0036, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.016528, "excess_performance": 0.015302, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048407, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057248, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1195, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060036, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072252, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.016528, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.182505, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25363, "relative_activity": 0.309623, "balance": 0.182505, "dry_up": 0.454269, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053361, "annualized_volatility": 0.253229, "from_high_reference": -0.244645, "from_low_reference": 0.060109 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.386863, "fair_value_reference": 20.578063, "structural_low": 18.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.002372, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001143, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.004348, "worst_return": -0.009091, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.014992, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.046699, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.014992, "worst_return": 0.014992, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.063325, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.097709, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.063325, "worst_return": 0.063325, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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20.495721, "fair_value": 20.56584, "relative_strength": -7.655676, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.970584, "energy": 47.134514, "activity_lines": [ 19.608667, 20.655091, 20.977989, 20.766626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.799999, "volume": 26925, "typical_volume": 82204.3, "trend": 20.451703, "fair_value": 20.569857, "relative_strength": -9.171516, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.987575, "energy": 67.096099, "activity_lines": [ 19.16, 20.183273, 20.787354, 20.657224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.6, "volume": 59550, "typical_volume": 84468.15, "trend": 20.430607, "fair_value": 20.571396, "relative_strength": -8.070592, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.590544, "energy": 72.30464, "activity_lines": [ 18.898, 19.744182, 20.582551, 20.537759 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.4, "volume": 25363, "typical_volume": 81915.65, "trend": 20.386863, "fair_value": 20.578063, "relative_strength": -6.0036, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.262362, "energy": 64.001182, "activity_lines": [ 19.02, 19.528909, 20.456952, 20.471269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }