{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84d95b5c-96e3-4469-a96c-0671094fd5b9", "symbol": "BLUEDART", "name": "Blue Dart Express Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.396, "architecture_energy": 15.067, "architecture_maturity": 77.999, "architecture_confidence": 62.086, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.43, "rotation_up": 34.38, "upward_expansion": 21.47, "deceleration": 40.6, "rotation_down": 22.33, "downward_expansion": 53.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 5030.47998, 4975.065403, 4993.450921, 5065.216536 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5089.5, "trend_reference": 5186.419987, "distance_from_trend": -0.018687, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6400.431841, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.204819, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.106532, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.12933, "excess_performance": -0.085621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018687, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044803, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.204819, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072851, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051065, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064422, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.12933, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.209974, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 769803, "relative_activity": 8.480243, "balance": 0.209974, "dry_up": 2.671886, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053445, "annualized_volatility": 0.262232, "from_high_reference": -0.276649, "from_low_reference": 0.086803 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5186.419987, "fair_value_reference": 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4909.513216, 4888.867205, 5011.365209, 5118.782131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4926.399902, "volume": 24142, "typical_volume": 49496.25, "trend": 5229.65332, "fair_value": 6427.200145, "relative_strength": -8.254999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.922078, "energy": 28.688696, "activity_lines": [ 4919.646549, 4884.10174, 4994.621391, 5098.18062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4911.5, "volume": 58033, "typical_volume": 50695.8, "trend": 5211.936654, "fair_value": 6414.601813, "relative_strength": -5.824637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.307589, "energy": 28.119052, "activity_lines": [ 4913.626595, 4890.365385, 4980.059012, 5077.654599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5126.0, "volume": 118195, "typical_volume": 54521.2, "trend": 5196.35332, "fair_value": 6407.402478, "relative_strength": -3.956065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.358792, "energy": 14.758535, "activity_lines": [ 4982.926627, 4938.52903, 4988.270443, 5072.110299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5089.5, "volume": 769803, "typical_volume": 90776.05, "trend": 5186.419987, "fair_value": 6400.431841, "relative_strength": -5.106532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.395837, "energy": 15.067363, "activity_lines": [ 5030.47998, 4975.065403, 4993.450921, 5065.216536 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }