{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84dae295-6e59-4d40-9193-b9e898b8fbbc",
    "symbol": "C1BL34",
    "name": "Chubb Limited",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.548,
    "architecture_energy": 51.78,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.456,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.222,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.94,
        "rotation_up": 70.53,
        "upward_expansion": 81.73,
        "deceleration": 54.46,
        "rotation_down": 13.16,
        "downward_expansion": 6.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        76.067112,
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        72.360556,
        71.531841
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 78.316666,
    "trend_reference": 70.546277,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.110146,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.013086,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283604,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.055718,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.087983,
    "excess_performance": 0.145032,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110146,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028747,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.283604,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162878,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110557,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273792,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087983,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.167205,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1746,
      "relative_activity": 1.059916,
      "balance": 3.167205,
      "dry_up": 1.592606,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052085,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.241135,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003203,
      "from_low_reference": 0.316251
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.546277,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.013086,
      "structural_low": 63.165226,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.006025,
        "positive_rate": 0.566667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.566667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005021,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.11539,
        "worst_return": -0.105919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
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        "worst_return": -0.071328,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.044878,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.045244,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.126837,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.055172,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 67.962671,
        "fair_value": 57.997874,
        "relative_strength": -13.754433,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 461.4,
        "trend": 67.984541,
        "fair_value": 58.167499,
        "relative_strength": -16.323516,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 68.452914,
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        "energy": 33.146644,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 969.6,
        "trend": 68.574983,
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        "relative_strength": -9.530133,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 897.3,
        "trend": 68.809495,
        "fair_value": 58.939251,
        "relative_strength": -0.669414,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 10.819749,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 68.948776,
        "fair_value": 59.141784,
        "relative_strength": -2.629315,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 0.226102,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 69.254418,
        "fair_value": 59.580805,
        "relative_strength": 0.587503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.973823,
        "energy": 23.632279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 6054,
        "typical_volume": 1125.0,
        "trend": 69.670338,
        "fair_value": 59.842054,
        "relative_strength": 8.976955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.232142,
        "energy": 76.300451,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 73.650002,
        "volume": 2166,
        "typical_volume": 1232.7,
        "trend": 69.830706,
        "fair_value": 60.07435,
        "relative_strength": 0.843457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.196553,
        "energy": 71.002983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 74.726669,
        "volume": 1980,
        "typical_volume": 1329.0,
        "trend": 69.943842,
        "fair_value": 60.313763,
        "relative_strength": 4.97255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.063264,
        "energy": 73.352898,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.397111,
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          70.651252,
          70.329286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 76.0,
        "volume": 2940,
        "typical_volume": 1388.4,
        "trend": 70.077731,
        "fair_value": 60.54356,
        "relative_strength": 6.676252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.860361,
        "energy": 75.339551,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.196112,
          73.320498,
          71.21174,
          70.720006
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.580002,
        "volume": 3828,
        "typical_volume": 1566.9,
        "trend": 70.235486,
        "fair_value": 60.766346,
        "relative_strength": 2.551219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.4018,
        "energy": 44.552913,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.103112,
          73.845553,
          71.614039,
          71.010475
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 78.316666,
        "volume": 1746,
        "typical_volume": 1647.3,
        "trend": 70.546277,
        "fair_value": 61.013086,
        "relative_strength": 11.055718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.547565,
        "energy": 51.779751,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}