{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84db3673-5505-4a4b-b246-ca547eab4ca3", "symbol": "2755", "name": "YoungQin International Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.944, "architecture_energy": 21.844, "architecture_maturity": 6.433, "architecture_confidence": 63.166, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.35, "rotation_up": 18.87, "upward_expansion": 13.05, "deceleration": 54.22, "rotation_down": 54.82, "downward_expansion": 43.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.733333, 105.018704, 105.390659, 105.529629 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 104.5, "trend_reference": 103.936932, "distance_from_trend": 0.005417, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 79.881346, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30819, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.049291, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.17948, "excess_performance": -0.261892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005417, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040074, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30819, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012566, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.260493, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024496, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.17948, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.815804, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202533, "relative_activity": 0.669548, "balance": 0.815804, "dry_up": 0.588176, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045839, "annualized_volatility": 0.289802, "from_high_reference": -0.121172, "from_low_reference": 0.211358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.936932, "fair_value_reference": 79.881346, "structural_low": 88.598359, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.006296, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.040998, "worst_return": -0.045825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024807, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.049607, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.239669, "worst_return": -0.054622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083551, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.055159, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.349911, "worst_return": -0.194118, "sufficient": 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3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.729527, "energy": 25.571517, "activity_lines": [ 107.096265, 106.72839, 106.571839, 105.333807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 105.5, "volume": 210385, "typical_volume": 368785.55, "trend": 102.842784, "fair_value": 79.469064, "relative_strength": -23.85418, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.195677, "energy": 12.787692, "activity_lines": [ 106.377795, 106.648839, 106.389922, 105.528217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.5, "volume": 175252, "typical_volume": 334461.8, "trend": 103.124831, "fair_value": 79.588483, "relative_strength": -24.44653, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.974298, "energy": 11.4919, "activity_lines": [ 104.80194, 105.963816, 105.938029, 105.506102 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102.5, "volume": 123505, "typical_volume": 313863.3, "trend": 103.510501, "fair_value": 79.719674, "relative_strength": -25.648662, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.326603, "energy": 14.48446, "activity_lines": [ 103.750043, 105.28745, 105.553169, 105.46579 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 104.5, "volume": 202533, "typical_volume": 302492.15, "trend": 103.936932, "fair_value": 79.881346, "relative_strength": -26.049291, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.944345, "energy": 21.843533, "activity_lines": [ 103.733333, 105.018704, 105.390659, 105.529629 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }