{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84dc456a-2035-477c-874c-15a2b74184f6", "symbol": "BIO", "name": "Biome Australia Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.26, "architecture_energy": 24.707, "architecture_maturity": 86.667, "architecture_confidence": 69.771, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.03, "rotation_up": 26.1, "upward_expansion": 18.74, "deceleration": 45.95, "rotation_down": 32.49, "downward_expansion": 57.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.273667, 0.270455, 0.274452, 0.294688 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.29, "trend_reference": 0.330583, "distance_from_trend": -0.122763, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.414087, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.299663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.383702, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.355556, "excess_performance": -0.419261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122763, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129089, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.299663, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013439, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070093, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.355556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.457873, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1837810, "relative_activity": 1.848726, "balance": 1.457873, "dry_up": 1.359627, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122016, "annualized_volatility": 0.589749, "from_high_reference": -0.491228, "from_low_reference": 0.45 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.330583, "fair_value_reference": 0.414087, "structural_low": 0.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.018019, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.038951, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.176471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.073232, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.0776, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.179775, "worst_return": -0.231884, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.205492, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.2392, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.060606, "worst_return": -0.471591, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -65.064243, "energy": 45.58332, "activity_lines": [ 0.262667, 0.264864, 0.280226, 0.307145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.255, "volume": 1008228, "typical_volume": 914735.45, "trend": 0.338917, "fair_value": 0.412163, "relative_strength": -35.147122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.0506, "energy": 41.036868, "activity_lines": [ 0.26, 0.262909, 0.275738, 0.301355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.28, "volume": 1542328, "typical_volume": 955433.7, "trend": 0.334417, "fair_value": 0.413157, "relative_strength": -29.521705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.271553, "energy": 32.794065, "activity_lines": [ 0.266333, 0.265955, 0.274369, 0.297554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.29, "volume": 1837810, "typical_volume": 994095.15, "trend": 0.330583, "fair_value": 0.414087, "relative_strength": -28.383702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.260341, "energy": 24.707349, "activity_lines": [ 0.273667, 0.270455, 0.274452, 0.294688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }