{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84df3abb-9ed7-4dd5-b7e0-0a13222973d1", "symbol": "SLEEP", "name": "Sleep Cycle AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.664, "architecture_energy": 52.978, "architecture_maturity": 55.103, "architecture_confidence": 64.537, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.75, "rotation_up": 41.81, "upward_expansion": 70.17, "deceleration": 82.71, "rotation_down": 27.87, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.496667, 24.574545, 23.546804, 22.029809 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.0, "trend_reference": 20.678304, "distance_from_trend": 0.160637, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.925664, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.170287, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.57873, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.515563, "excess_performance": 0.454069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.160637, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018036, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.170287, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.251419, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055787, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323427, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.515563, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.91232, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7795, "relative_activity": 0.033585, "balance": 2.91232, "dry_up": 0.182604, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043558, "annualized_volatility": 0.642889, "from_high_reference": -0.361704, "from_low_reference": 0.638012 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.678304, "fair_value_reference": 28.925664, "structural_low": 14.651904, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.036723, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.018714, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.150852, "worst_return": -0.21875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.079935, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.054887, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.221622, "worst_return": -0.278475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.027027, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.029081, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.209129, "worst_return": -0.406341, "sufficient": 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-3.171366, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.966116, "energy": 63.327201, "activity_lines": [ 24.64, 24.459273, 22.134461, 21.043541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.75, "volume": 40328, "typical_volume": 237539.3, "trend": 20.731742, "fair_value": 28.89116, "relative_strength": -0.446878, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.999449, "energy": 62.969615, "activity_lines": [ 24.676667, 24.638182, 22.56682, 21.302485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.6, "volume": 94947, "typical_volume": 239325.4, "trend": 20.769014, "fair_value": 28.904747, "relative_strength": -1.641035, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.993598, "energy": 59.105979, "activity_lines": [ 24.653333, 24.642727, 22.94383, 21.55205 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.9, "volume": 26458, "typical_volume": 235846.2, "trend": 20.725721, "fair_value": 28.915923, "relative_strength": -1.031516, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.840294, "energy": 61.874932, "activity_lines": [ 24.723333, 24.695454, 23.307215, 21.818565 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.0, "volume": 7795, "typical_volume": 232097.75, "trend": 20.678304, "fair_value": 28.925664, "relative_strength": -5.57873, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.663576, "energy": 52.97777, "activity_lines": [ 24.496667, 24.574545, 23.546804, 22.029809 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }