{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84e01b67-8c74-45f3-addd-e5eaa6419abd",
    "symbol": "FBIOP",
    "name": "Fortress Biotech Inc Pref Series A",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.264,
    "architecture_energy": 41.034,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.72,
        "rotation_up": 37.22,
        "upward_expansion": 61.98,
        "deceleration": 88.18,
        "rotation_down": 27.69,
        "downward_expansion": 23.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.171333,
        19.394371,
        18.506945,
        17.272533
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 19.88,
    "trend_reference": 15.661697,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.269339,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.489465,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.895235,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 42.727089,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.658048,
    "excess_performance": 0.470595,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.269339,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325564,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.895235,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.561231,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.427271,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250742,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.658048,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.386638,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 72511,
      "relative_activity": 0.781621,
      "balance": 3.386638,
      "dry_up": 0.557728,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070016,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.548655,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072329,
      "from_low_reference": 2.170654
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.661697,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.489465,
      "structural_low": 10.62,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.01343,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012765,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.185379,
        "worst_return": -0.018684,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.00675,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041275,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.237898,
        "worst_return": -0.477923,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.184428,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.154458,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.789437,
        "worst_return": -0.632953,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.167267,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054874,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.660563,
        "worst_return": -0.432977,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.217808,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.187577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.240227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.208025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.288732,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.226172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.067143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.333333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.052966,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 11.399457,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 108375.35,
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        "relative_strength": 73.148235,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 12.73529,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 13.624627,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 88.270587,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 58909,
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        "trend": 14.056627,
        "fair_value": 10.354124,
        "relative_strength": 59.642617,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 18.56,
        "volume": 112643,
        "typical_volume": 113094.7,
        "trend": 14.418363,
        "fair_value": 10.37901,
        "relative_strength": 41.023892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.089009,
        "energy": 63.499588,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.694687,
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          16.187917
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.71,
        "volume": 36605,
        "typical_volume": 98228.65,
        "trend": 14.735363,
        "fair_value": 10.402649,
        "relative_strength": 46.24174,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.06987,
        "energy": 52.652815,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.27868,
          19.476013,
          17.756174,
          16.464797
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.89,
        "volume": 37938,
        "typical_volume": 97239.75,
        "trend": 15.05203,
        "fair_value": 10.429623,
        "relative_strength": 47.724031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.973462,
        "energy": 45.100411,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.056007,
          19.449647,
          18.000479,
          16.732838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.88,
        "volume": 59908,
        "typical_volume": 93881.3,
        "trend": 15.342697,
        "fair_value": 10.45518,
        "relative_strength": 44.62256,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.697616,
        "energy": 34.150375,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.908,
          19.350918,
          18.220402,
          16.979804
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.88,
        "volume": 72511,
        "typical_volume": 92770.05,
        "trend": 15.661697,
        "fair_value": 10.489465,
        "relative_strength": 42.727089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.264029,
        "energy": 41.033977,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.171333,
          19.394371,
          18.506945,
          17.272533
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}