{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84e2d38d-4587-4bc3-90d0-d5fdd148608d", "symbol": "INTL", "name": "MAIN INTERNATIONAL ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 58.001, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.596, "architecture_energy": 25.483, "architecture_maturity": 46.779, "architecture_confidence": 81.495, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.1, "rotation_up": 36.74, "upward_expansion": 61.65, "deceleration": 88.11, "rotation_down": 26.7, "downward_expansion": 13.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.458693, 30.411839, 30.331393, 30.070374 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 31.18, "trend_reference": 29.806565, "distance_from_trend": 0.046078, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.071733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295295, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.032851, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.048695, "excess_performance": -0.07693, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046078, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032058, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295295, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031617, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030329, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033333, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.048695, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.413313, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109787, "relative_activity": 0.775804, "balance": 1.413313, "dry_up": 1.506144, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034235, "annualized_volatility": 0.19394, "from_high_reference": -0.025866, "from_low_reference": 0.222651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.806565, "fair_value_reference": 24.071733, "structural_low": 27.22, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 64.270666, "energy": 40.101891, "activity_lines": [ 30.557897, 30.409951, 29.93909, 29.686463 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 30.27, "volume": 94572, "typical_volume": 152390.65, "trend": 29.322425, "fair_value": 23.673476, "relative_strength": -0.194202, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.543064, "energy": 28.965383, "activity_lines": [ 30.487838, 30.396934, 29.992123, 29.75393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 30.34, "volume": 136624, "typical_volume": 143406.35, "trend": 29.418522, "fair_value": 23.743286, "relative_strength": -2.083055, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.680075, "energy": 30.218352, "activity_lines": [ 30.446783, 30.403371, 30.049261, 29.81958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.6, "volume": 140796, "typical_volume": 143822.95, "trend": 29.520542, "fair_value": 23.810037, "relative_strength": -2.570789, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.166947, "energy": 30.391775, "activity_lines": [ 30.521249, 30.448339, 30.130662, 29.895805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.9524, "volume": 263246, "typical_volume": 140359.3, "trend": 29.599352, "fair_value": 23.872697, "relative_strength": -3.12094, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.386571, "energy": 17.437556, "activity_lines": [ 30.316671, 30.36463, 30.150386, 29.923666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.85, "volume": 198673, "typical_volume": 133377.5, "trend": 29.660852, "fair_value": 23.932109, "relative_strength": -2.868573, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.321259, "energy": 13.714713, "activity_lines": [ 30.12064, 30.277092, 30.163822, 29.939837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.2314, "volume": 280855, "typical_volume": 141818.3, "trend": 29.727232, "fair_value": 23.998175, "relative_strength": -2.697782, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.219657, "energy": 13.25972, "activity_lines": [ 30.13028, 30.257105, 30.207582, 29.976647 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.18, "volume": 109787, "typical_volume": 141513.9, "trend": 29.806565, "fair_value": 24.071733, "relative_strength": -3.032851, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.595794, "energy": 25.483118, "activity_lines": [ 30.458693, 30.411839, 30.331393, 30.070374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }