{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84e2dea2-e3fc-4a79-9893-4997aef781da", "symbol": "6538", "name": "Brave C&H Supply Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.43, "architecture_energy": 58.769, "architecture_maturity": 56.026, "architecture_confidence": 80.936, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.12, "rotation_up": 70.45, "upward_expansion": 83.34, "deceleration": 60.74, "rotation_down": 16.33, "downward_expansion": 7.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 154.533333, 143.730878, 127.368891, 113.501299 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 184.0, "trend_reference": 96.808369, "distance_from_trend": 0.900662, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 111.09265, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.656275, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 56.822336, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.704455, "excess_performance": 1.263083, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.900662, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.306088, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.656275, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.851339, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.568223, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.817614, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.704455, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.74485, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14563897, "relative_activity": 2.558426, "balance": 3.74485, "dry_up": 2.166779, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158534, "annualized_volatility": 0.811053, "from_high_reference": -0.05641, "from_low_reference": 2.055279 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 96.808369, "fair_value_reference": 111.09265, "structural_low": 61.311415, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.012355, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.008596, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.4431, "worst_return": -0.198925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.088113, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.059118, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.095343, "worst_return": -0.233871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.029126, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.208504, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.899794, "worst_return": -0.330836, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.262544, "energy": 59.012818, "activity_lines": [ 132.448556, 124.62692, 108.419049, 97.754065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 133.5, "volume": 9429346, "typical_volume": 3808559.5, "trend": 87.850809, "fair_value": 110.690478, "relative_strength": 19.055706, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.176058, "energy": 54.684304, "activity_lines": [ 134.233333, 127.215465, 112.082487, 100.845912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 138.0, "volume": 11124562, "typical_volume": 4341702.4, "trend": 90.192835, "fair_value": 110.742647, "relative_strength": 25.13073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.172205, "energy": 50.516513, "activity_lines": [ 136.166667, 129.791534, 115.851933, 104.081344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.0, "volume": 14219947, "typical_volume": 5030164.05, "trend": 92.797861, "fair_value": 110.81403, "relative_strength": 28.491348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.480584, "energy": 48.55713, "activity_lines": [ 139.166667, 133.423675, 119.944993, 107.61729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 184.0, "volume": 14563897, "typical_volume": 5692522.85, "trend": 96.808369, "fair_value": 111.09265, "relative_strength": 56.822336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.430116, "energy": 58.768765, "activity_lines": [ 154.533333, 143.730878, 127.368891, 113.501299 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }