{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84f03116-7ddf-47c3-9d4c-09270171f2f8",
    "symbol": "ALS",
    "name": "Altius Minerals Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.554,
    "architecture_energy": 31.435,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.538,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.601,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.43,
        "rotation_up": 37.11,
        "upward_expansion": 65.73,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 26.81,
        "downward_expansion": 15.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        59.791333,
        60.12491,
        58.042089,
        55.430186
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 63.169998,
    "trend_reference": 51.971886,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.215465,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.219363,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.090382,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 26.044972,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.481632,
    "excess_performance": 0.361211,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215465,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145954,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.090382,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118729,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26045,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026953,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.481632,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.96904,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1087300,
      "relative_activity": 1.007627,
      "balance": 0.96904,
      "dry_up": 1.614724,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077578,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.430503,
      "from_high_reference": -0.043603,
      "from_low_reference": 1.22879
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.971886,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.219363,
      "structural_low": 39.929278,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.000949,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01084,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.09938,
        "worst_return": -0.083191,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.019412,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003838,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.310717,
        "worst_return": -0.133706,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058773,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064242,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.29572,
        "worst_return": -0.001524,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.157771,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.078168,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.293745,
        "worst_return": 0.021797,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.155668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050284,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.11051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.104446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027798,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.517498,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.120539,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 31.053201,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 950565.0,
        "trend": 48.840051,
        "fair_value": 28.95049,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 995960.0,
        "trend": 49.614444,
        "fair_value": 29.219695,
        "relative_strength": 33.523265,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 71.368334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 55.619999,
        "volume": 2767700,
        "typical_volume": 1100245.0,
        "trend": 50.131253,
        "fair_value": 29.448062,
        "relative_strength": 17.515673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.581706,
        "energy": 53.104625,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.374667,
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          56.372741,
          53.668197
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 58.360001,
        "volume": 1628700,
        "typical_volume": 1149185.0,
        "trend": 50.757322,
        "fair_value": 29.692884,
        "relative_strength": 21.873828,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.824292,
        "energy": 43.662523,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.530668,
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          56.855163,
          54.199084
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.990002,
        "volume": 1485900,
        "typical_volume": 1166440.0,
        "trend": 51.320598,
        "fair_value": 29.935027,
        "relative_strength": 20.61654,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.75868,
        "energy": 28.077586,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.690001,
          59.409274,
          57.237949,
          54.665708
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.169998,
        "volume": 1087300,
        "typical_volume": 1079070.0,
        "trend": 51.971886,
        "fair_value": 30.219363,
        "relative_strength": 26.044972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.553668,
        "energy": 31.43469,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.791333,
          60.12491,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}