{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84f5b0ae-65c2-464a-811e-fe7faecda748", "symbol": "WMB", "name": "Williams Companies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 63.964, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.223, "architecture_energy": 9.152, "architecture_maturity": 36.81, "architecture_confidence": 66.718, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.16, "rotation_up": 20.33, "upward_expansion": 42.21, "deceleration": 79.42, "rotation_down": 33.07, "downward_expansion": 31.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.129333, 73.017812, 73.271539, 72.980535 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 70.4, "trend_reference": 71.83735, "distance_from_trend": -0.020008, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.167259, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37588, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.107644, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.06725, "excess_performance": -0.058375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020008, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069754, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37588, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131616, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051076, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072217, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06725, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.41844, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39445687, "relative_activity": 1.217332, "balance": 1.41844, "dry_up": 1.079804, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064128, "annualized_volatility": 0.277751, "from_high_reference": -0.114421, "from_low_reference": 0.301155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.83735, "fair_value_reference": 51.167259, "structural_low": 65.994959, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.051426, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.049986, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.168908, "worst_return": -0.065813, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.047083, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.03576, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.213111, "worst_return": -0.027448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.159464, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.069448, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.187035, "worst_return": 0.053829, "sufficient": false }, 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71.087311, "fair_value": 50.654676, "relative_strength": 4.43684, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.521008, "energy": 19.32043, "activity_lines": [ 74.185333, 73.963076, 73.711193, 73.02053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.54, "volume": 34914616, "typical_volume": 32161641.85, "trend": 71.472623, "fair_value": 50.917527, "relative_strength": -0.145028, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.043905, "energy": 5.702246, "activity_lines": [ 73.134667, 73.536238, 73.542628, 73.049736 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.4, "volume": 39445687, "typical_volume": 32403382.45, "trend": 71.83735, "fair_value": 51.167259, "relative_strength": -5.107644, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.223436, "energy": 9.151735, "activity_lines": [ 72.129333, 73.017812, 73.271539, 72.980535 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }