{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "84fa2405-7191-40a8-9e6a-20feedf3cc0a",
    "symbol": "CAC",
    "name": "Amundi CAC 40 UCITS ETF Dist",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.969,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.961,
    "architecture_energy": 73.376,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.803,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.651,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.04,
        "rotation_up": 63.4,
        "upward_expansion": 85.88,
        "deceleration": 50.72,
        "rotation_down": 18.48,
        "downward_expansion": 14.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        82.998817
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 87.989998,
    "trend_reference": 82.038667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.072543,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 75.011141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173026,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.925615,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.080029,
    "excess_performance": 0.026718,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072543,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020619,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173026,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073826,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019256,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004407,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080029,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.206242,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 74010,
      "relative_activity": 0.661631,
      "balance": 2.206242,
      "dry_up": 0.737559,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021034,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.153208,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003511,
      "from_low_reference": 0.188091
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 75.011141,
      "structural_low": 74.059998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.002015,
        "positive_rate": 0.483871,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.483871,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000812,
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        "worst_return": -0.102266,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.087504,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "typical_volume": 153895.45,
        "trend": 80.144597,
        "fair_value": 73.48578,
        "relative_strength": 0.590603,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 80.959999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 149620.7,
        "trend": 80.273741,
        "fair_value": 73.724951,
        "relative_strength": 1.854976,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 109647,
        "typical_volume": 153421.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 153386.6,
        "trend": 80.38128,
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        "relative_strength": 2.255406,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 31954,
        "typical_volume": 149669.6,
        "trend": 80.537326,
        "fair_value": 74.017563,
        "relative_strength": 2.195053,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 34.610953,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 84.18,
        "volume": 32448,
        "typical_volume": 143184.7,
        "trend": 80.666835,
        "fair_value": 74.119387,
        "relative_strength": 2.213679,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 58.668695,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 2.158965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 68.445921,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 136205.9,
        "trend": 81.037943,
        "fair_value": 74.342003,
        "relative_strength": 2.098457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.188351,
        "energy": 70.868698,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 19965,
        "typical_volume": 132524.6,
        "trend": 81.238666,
        "fair_value": 74.470122,
        "relative_strength": 2.145422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 75.810929,
        "energy": 77.946425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 90325,
        "typical_volume": 132636.45,
        "trend": 81.393667,
        "fair_value": 74.571658,
        "relative_strength": 2.012219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.178548,
        "energy": 69.088069,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.754666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 84.07,
        "volume": 78479,
        "typical_volume": 131524.9,
        "trend": 81.518667,
        "fair_value": 74.669542,
        "relative_strength": 1.947093,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.119967,
        "energy": 55.793768,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.543333,
          84.129636,
          82.761904,
          82.140365
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 84.43,
        "volume": 74733,
        "typical_volume": 119053.45,
        "trend": 81.676,
        "fair_value": 74.766322,
        "relative_strength": 1.919876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.587748,
        "energy": 42.765933,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.459333,
          84.317636,
          83.042809,
          82.328193
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.93,
        "volume": 102791,
        "typical_volume": 114221.9,
        "trend": 81.849333,
        "fair_value": 74.8826,
        "relative_strength": 1.998607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.029592,
        "energy": 45.68273,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.906,
          84.692363,
          83.44638,
          82.602645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 87.989998,
        "volume": 74010,
        "typical_volume": 111859.85,
        "trend": 82.038667,
        "fair_value": 75.011141,
        "relative_strength": 1.925615,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.960737,
        "energy": 73.376113,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.945333,
          85.360363,
          84.008428,
          82.998817
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}