{ "ticker": { "uuid": "84fb6baa-d6a2-457a-8d5a-f68c355bac54", "symbol": "603676", "name": "Tibet Weixinkang Medicine Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.402, "architecture_energy": 30.28, "architecture_maturity": 99.045, "architecture_confidence": 82.148, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.64, "rotation_up": 27.18, "upward_expansion": 16.68, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 29.81, "downward_expansion": 62.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.832, 8.734962, 9.019425, 9.419279 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.08, "trend_reference": 9.964051, "distance_from_trend": -0.088724, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.69448, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.063385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.274324, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.184919, "excess_performance": -0.141715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088724, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072228, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.063385, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.142743, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023926, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.184919, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.600737, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13088857, "relative_activity": 1.452534, "balance": 0.600737, "dry_up": 1.4735, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06647, "annualized_volatility": 0.248979, "from_high_reference": -0.338713, "from_low_reference": 0.129353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.964051, "fair_value_reference": 9.69448, "structural_low": 8.04, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.00682, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.03632, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.22251, "worst_return": -0.171491, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.051201, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.038874, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.05125, "worst_return": -0.237192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.190005, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.174548, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.239796, "worst_return": -0.26776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.286341, "energy": 64.126192, "activity_lines": [ 8.589012, 8.751638, 9.338788, 9.75669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.99, "volume": 15073414, "typical_volume": 8327741.9, "trend": 10.165051, "fair_value": 9.762843, "relative_strength": -13.544045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.152613, "energy": 53.470139, "activity_lines": [ 8.730054, 8.745935, 9.2594, 9.677052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.38, "volume": 14695500, "typical_volume": 8565776.9, "trend": 10.078385, "fair_value": 9.734366, "relative_strength": -19.754222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.071208, "energy": 46.042543, "activity_lines": [ 8.653333, 8.652775, 9.132583, 9.561888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.8, "volume": 10253357, "typical_volume": 8757174.75, "trend": 10.012051, "fair_value": 9.712016, "relative_strength": -15.3884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.10339, "energy": 37.770578, "activity_lines": [ 8.721333, 8.662519, 9.057814, 9.479411 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.08, "volume": 13088857, "typical_volume": 9011052.6, "trend": 9.964051, "fair_value": 9.69448, "relative_strength": -14.274324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.402467, "energy": 30.279883, "activity_lines": [ 8.832, 8.734962, 9.019425, 9.419279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }