{ "ticker": { "uuid": "850e1111-35f7-4fcc-b708-a5172b7e71b5", "symbol": "TRUE", "name": "True Corporation Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 61.733, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.724, "architecture_energy": 21.696, "architecture_maturity": 21.949, "architecture_confidence": 55.16, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.78, "rotation_up": 51.54, "upward_expansion": 66.47, "deceleration": 58.9, "rotation_down": 16.16, "downward_expansion": 12.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.88, 13.725455, 13.75191, 13.687001 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.4, "trend_reference": 13.400922, "distance_from_trend": -6.9e-05, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.128027, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.323061, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.275809, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.109222, "excess_performance": -0.083103, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -6.9e-05, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074183, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.323061, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175196, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112072, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109222, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.266591, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1411244000, "relative_activity": 2.240265, "balance": 1.266591, "dry_up": 1.390549, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053337, "annualized_volatility": 0.321779, "from_high_reference": -0.098018, "from_low_reference": 0.359865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.400922, "fair_value_reference": 10.128027, "structural_low": 12.178753, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.032388, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.041494, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.062015, "worst_return": -0.086066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061386, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.003046, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.032389, "worst_return": -0.130719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01679, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.151344, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.285425, "worst_return": -0.03937, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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13.573755, 13.674545, 13.433014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.6, "volume": 535979351, "typical_volume": 709340832.55, "trend": 12.978146, "fair_value": 9.941875, "relative_strength": -4.22059, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.961426, "energy": 16.695754, "activity_lines": [ 13.353333, 13.550545, 13.666458, 13.479147 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.0, "volume": 545405400, "typical_volume": 668319282.55, "trend": 13.087962, "fair_value": 9.988269, "relative_strength": -2.381517, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.036502, "energy": 16.149127, "activity_lines": [ 13.54, 13.597437, 13.695779, 13.545073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.0, "volume": 668669200, "typical_volume": 630447977.55, "trend": 13.194504, "fair_value": 10.033425, "relative_strength": -2.646552, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.368067, "energy": 20.384883, "activity_lines": [ 13.726667, 13.649091, 13.726248, 13.603914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.4, "volume": 878558300, "typical_volume": 625762772.55, "trend": 13.317654, "fair_value": 10.083312, "relative_strength": 1.111625, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.207308, "energy": 34.100747, "activity_lines": [ 14.026667, 13.783636, 13.789882, 13.681688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.4, "volume": 1411244000, "typical_volume": 629944982.55, "trend": 13.400922, "fair_value": 10.128027, "relative_strength": -5.275809, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.724458, "energy": 21.695617, "activity_lines": [ 13.88, 13.725455, 13.75191, 13.687001 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }