{ "ticker": { "uuid": "851249bf-aaa1-49f7-b9a6-e144bed358ae", "symbol": "688025", "name": "Shenzhen JPT Opto-Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.031, "architecture_energy": 20.301, "architecture_maturity": 71.684, "architecture_confidence": 72.387, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.17, "rotation_up": 15.22, "upward_expansion": 41.49, "deceleration": 87.79, "rotation_down": 44.88, "downward_expansion": 35.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 324.294, 356.540758, 366.696716, 341.96295 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 342.809998, "trend_reference": 298.904371, "distance_from_trend": 0.146889, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 114.556705, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.992492, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 49.636192, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.120037, "excess_performance": 1.163241, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146889, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.343143, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.992492, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.241214, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.496362, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.792603, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.120037, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.644488, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20584562, "relative_activity": 1.112414, "balance": 1.644488, "dry_up": 1.171992, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.225986, "annualized_volatility": 0.931046, "from_high_reference": -0.313378, "from_low_reference": 2.427415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 298.904371, "fair_value_reference": 114.556705, "structural_low": 154.139999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.021613, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.034661, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.212943, "worst_return": -0.117566, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.090872, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.11992, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.312057, "worst_return": -0.125837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.039976, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.02848, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.468905, "worst_return": -0.232625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -7.612332, "energy": 20.299174, "activity_lines": [ 325.761334, 363.095544, 366.879817, 338.697554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 342.809998, "volume": 20584562, "typical_volume": 18504411.3, "trend": 298.904371, "fair_value": 114.556705, "relative_strength": 49.636192, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.031387, "energy": 20.301404, "activity_lines": [ 324.294, 356.540758, 366.696716, 341.96295 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }