{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8518495e-57a8-4c65-9bd3-c50f67bfc0e3",
    "symbol": "VT",
    "name": "VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC TOTAL WORLD STK INDEX FUND ETF SHS",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.49,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.596,
    "architecture_energy": 47.888,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.562,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.813,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.55,
        "rotation_up": 51.53,
        "upward_expansion": 79.52,
        "deceleration": 63.4,
        "rotation_down": 26.13,
        "downward_expansion": 6.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        157.315333,
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        155.213509,
        152.490991
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 161.3,
    "trend_reference": 149.42604,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079464,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 120.34832,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340276,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.044832,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.107908,
    "excess_performance": -0.017717,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079464,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038878,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340276,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004944,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000448,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010505,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107908,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.939995,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14913023,
      "relative_activity": 0.944458,
      "balance": 1.939995,
      "dry_up": 0.837041,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026367,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.152009,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004321,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25035
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 149.42604,
      "fair_value_reference": 120.34832,
      "structural_low": 133.17459,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.012534,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004458,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.062954,
        "worst_return": -0.087235,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.080559,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.173264,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.15156,
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 19183645.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 154.2,
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        "typical_volume": 17440235.9,
        "trend": 148.353587,
        "fair_value": 119.497616,
        "relative_strength": 0.054264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 155.86,
        "volume": 17549469,
        "typical_volume": 16127050.55,
        "trend": 148.8404,
        "fair_value": 119.90405,
        "relative_strength": 0.003405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.943596,
        "energy": 32.529959,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 161.3,
        "volume": 14913023,
        "typical_volume": 15790039.5,
        "trend": 149.42604,
        "fair_value": 120.34832,
        "relative_strength": -0.044832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.59622,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}