{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8527411f-c699-4e19-98c1-ccc89545d528",
    "symbol": "CHAMBLFERT",
    "name": "Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 64.563,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -16.108,
    "architecture_energy": 25.663,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.071,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.057,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.9,
        "rotation_up": 17.2,
        "upward_expansion": 17.52,
        "deceleration": 61.87,
        "rotation_down": 61.76,
        "downward_expansion": 42.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        444.283337,
        453.67091,
        456.456905,
        453.285698
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 450.700012,
    "trend_reference": 449.218331,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003298,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 450.27856,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000936,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.607319,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.052914,
    "excess_performance": 0.096624,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003298,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003654,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000936,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050534,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026073,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006576,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052914,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.364146,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2813065,
      "relative_activity": 0.985982,
      "balance": 1.364146,
      "dry_up": 0.786622,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046185,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.246883,
      "from_high_reference": -0.215502,
      "from_low_reference": 0.127455
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 449.218331,
      "fair_value_reference": 450.27856,
      "structural_low": 399.75,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.032809,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029307,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.097306,
        "worst_return": -0.126702,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.066453,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065524,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.116078,
        "worst_return": -0.038479,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.209316,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.240125,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.339671,
        "worst_return": -0.184066,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.014723,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014731,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.456572,
        "worst_return": -0.116331,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.179537,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017382,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.154445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019998,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.044712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3101689.35,
        "trend": 450.581663,
        "fair_value": 447.808417,
        "relative_strength": -4.291636,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 438.850006,
        "volume": 2272706,
        "typical_volume": 2931200.35,
        "trend": 449.21333,
        "fair_value": 448.98806,
        "relative_strength": -4.751883,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.040204,
        "energy": 29.698318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 450.700012,
        "volume": 2813065,
        "typical_volume": 2853057.95,
        "trend": 449.218331,
        "fair_value": 450.27856,
        "relative_strength": -2.607319,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.108274,
        "energy": 25.663225,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}