{ "ticker": { "uuid": "853839e1-ec37-4d80-8b12-d85a7535bf91", "symbol": "SUN", "name": "Sunoco LP", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.91, "architecture_energy": 73.562, "architecture_maturity": 12.906, "architecture_confidence": 81.67, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.61, "rotation_up": 75.63, "upward_expansion": 92.16, "deceleration": 42.04, "rotation_down": 9.47, "downward_expansion": 16.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.763315, 70.666924, 68.902942, 67.448277 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 70.57, "trend_reference": 64.961891, "distance_from_trend": 0.086329, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.932097, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.35889, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.35381, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.243286, "excess_performance": 0.117661, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086329, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09491, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.35889, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001497, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073538, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024552, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.243286, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.502433, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2846571, "relative_activity": 1.271019, "balance": 1.502433, "dry_up": 1.181873, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05883, "annualized_volatility": 0.259629, "from_high_reference": -0.083699, "from_low_reference": 0.542952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.961891, "fair_value_reference": 51.932097, "structural_low": 54.267735, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.013659, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.018179, "regime_survival": 0.735294, "best_return": 0.145313, "worst_return": -0.109741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.061258, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.042914, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.214688, "worst_return": -0.168575, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.056081, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.064575, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.407594, "worst_return": -0.10056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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77.52365, "energy": 74.716211, "activity_lines": [ 71.133332, 68.875108, 67.730769, 66.276957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.616032, "volume": 2760723, "typical_volume": 2302682.4, "trend": 64.423305, "fair_value": 51.721992, "relative_strength": 19.404266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.572932, "energy": 82.619013, "activity_lines": [ 73.093197, 70.277983, 68.586293, 67.051716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.57, "volume": 2846571, "typical_volume": 2239596.75, "trend": 64.961891, "fair_value": 51.932097, "relative_strength": 7.35381, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.909532, "energy": 73.562192, "activity_lines": [ 72.763315, 70.666924, 68.902942, 67.448277 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }