{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8539f046-4735-47a9-83d4-6adb118b0346", "symbol": "MSFO", "name": "TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MSFT OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.454, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.538, "architecture_energy": 29.568, "architecture_maturity": 30.524, "architecture_confidence": 72.348, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.24, "rotation_up": 60.87, "upward_expansion": 27.68, "deceleration": 40.37, "rotation_down": 20.37, "downward_expansion": 33.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.532126, 11.027343, 11.107807, 11.115298 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.78, "trend_reference": 11.214596, "distance_from_trend": 0.139586, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.437438, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117383, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.308264, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.155661, "excess_performance": 0.030036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139586, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062097, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.117383, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103454, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063083, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117499, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155661, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.126754, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 670786, "relative_activity": 1.478684, "balance": 1.126754, "dry_up": 1.059879, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061363, "annualized_volatility": 0.368491, "from_high_reference": -0.114647, "from_low_reference": 0.332137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.214596, "fair_value_reference": 11.437438, "structural_low": 9.593607, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.039031, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.034318, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.039031, "worst_return": 0.039031, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.116731, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.030654, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116731, "worst_return": 0.116731, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.116191, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.021104, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116191, "worst_return": 0.116191, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -10.051887, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.55257, "energy": 11.109699, "activity_lines": [ 10.805726, 10.666582, 10.938776, 11.014555 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.78, "volume": 670786, "typical_volume": 453637.0, "trend": 11.214596, "fair_value": 11.437438, "relative_strength": -6.308264, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.538096, "energy": 29.568417, "activity_lines": [ 11.532126, 11.027343, 11.107807, 11.115298 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }