{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85511bd2-ee86-4317-b5b0-61bc749fbaed", "symbol": "600755", "name": "Xiamen ITG Group Corp.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.902, "architecture_energy": 20.509, "architecture_maturity": 88.574, "architecture_confidence": 72.073, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.87, "rotation_up": 28.19, "upward_expansion": 19.24, "deceleration": 46.88, "rotation_down": 23.79, "downward_expansion": 55.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.81, 5.748178, 5.790062, 5.92838 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.73, "trend_reference": 6.159163, "distance_from_trend": -0.069679, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.259716, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.084623, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.057164, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.168059, "excess_performance": -0.124855, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069679, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055383, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.084623, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050179, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.080572, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035573, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168059, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.432591, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79338209, "relative_activity": 1.097627, "balance": 0.432591, "dry_up": 1.195483, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040457, "annualized_volatility": 0.187546, "from_high_reference": -0.333112, "from_low_reference": 0.06061 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.159163, "fair_value_reference": 6.259716, "structural_low": 5.402553, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.010798, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.020014, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.229965, "worst_return": -0.138325, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.032925, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.010348, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.114671, "worst_return": -0.067744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.092621, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.023724, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.296241, "worst_return": -0.001366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 87187391.55, "trend": 6.311954, "fair_value": 6.273375, "relative_strength": -1.670717, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.348957, "energy": 34.843307, "activity_lines": [ 5.772, 5.708371, 5.838626, 6.02324 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.71, "volume": 111424468, "typical_volume": 81494059.4, "trend": 6.294053, "fair_value": 6.268168, "relative_strength": -5.957379, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.774122, "energy": 25.831734, "activity_lines": [ 5.778, 5.705215, 5.811882, 5.984404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.9, "volume": 70045628, "typical_volume": 76002164.8, "trend": 6.204315, "fair_value": 6.264739, "relative_strength": -3.008244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.772832, "energy": 27.766936, "activity_lines": [ 5.836, 5.742046, 5.807758, 5.958981 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.73, "volume": 79338209, "typical_volume": 72281590.4, "trend": 6.159163, "fair_value": 6.259716, "relative_strength": -8.057164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.901648, "energy": 20.508697, "activity_lines": [ 5.81, 5.748178, 5.790062, 5.92838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }