{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "85562ea7-7502-4639-ace6-75a3a8e84ba7",
    "symbol": "QCOM",
    "name": "QUALCOMM Incorporated",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.226,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.513,
    "architecture_energy": 34.77,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.051,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.619,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.64,
        "rotation_up": 14.3,
        "upward_expansion": 18.22,
        "deceleration": 58.78,
        "rotation_down": 64.65,
        "downward_expansion": 45.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2843.181332,
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2865.27002,
    "trend_reference": 2940.647062,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.025633,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2930.259453,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022179,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.758414,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.199795,
    "excess_performance": 0.254461,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025633,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013761,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022179,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.36207,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067584,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.246731,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.199795,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.213728,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24002,
      "relative_activity": 1.887105,
      "balance": 1.213728,
      "dry_up": 1.255135,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.163092,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.655244,
      "from_high_reference": -0.357429,
      "from_low_reference": 0.305637
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2940.647062,
      "fair_value_reference": 2930.259453,
      "structural_low": 2194.537459,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.007143,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00364,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.128439,
        "worst_return": -0.16827,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.028356,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.218453,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.056132,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.121153,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.373829,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2902.23999,
        "volume": 28091,
        "typical_volume": 11799.3,
        "trend": 2969.418286,
        "fair_value": 2921.053876,
        "relative_strength": -5.324586,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2566.719971,
        "volume": 2033,
        "typical_volume": 11857.85,
        "trend": 2951.679753,
        "fair_value": 2924.36957,
        "relative_strength": -16.617271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.893948,
        "energy": 33.426782,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2865.27002,
        "volume": 24002,
        "typical_volume": 12718.95,
        "trend": 2940.647062,
        "fair_value": 2930.259453,
        "relative_strength": -6.758414,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.513123,
        "energy": 34.769791,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}