{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8576d082-4bed-4016-819b-bece5a4604ae", "symbol": "603332", "name": "Suzhou Longjie Special Fiber Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.504, "architecture_energy": 48.126, "architecture_maturity": 58.236, "architecture_confidence": 85.641, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.25, "rotation_up": 26.11, "upward_expansion": 7.87, "deceleration": 60.1, "rotation_down": 47.52, "downward_expansion": 78.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.524667, 10.565925, 11.343915, 11.890877 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.0, "trend_reference": 12.568986, "distance_from_trend": -0.12483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.547156, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042935, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.984768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.196494, "excess_performance": -0.15329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.12483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058318, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.042935, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.318323, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058125, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.196494, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.888636, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19974072, "relative_activity": 0.868142, "balance": 0.888636, "dry_up": 0.773733, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086066, "annualized_volatility": 0.333644, "from_high_reference": -0.367453, "from_low_reference": 0.132853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.568986, "fair_value_reference": 10.547156, "structural_low": 9.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.005418, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.008306, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.373779, "worst_return": -0.217259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.03219, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.005009, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.133148, "worst_return": -0.094611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.053551, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.060285, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.485507, "worst_return": -0.156413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.23157, "energy": 75.895661, "activity_lines": [ 10.510766, 10.914032, 11.852766, 12.330767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.95, "volume": 18542328, "typical_volume": 27057979.25, "trend": 12.734653, "fair_value": 10.516273, "relative_strength": -21.690711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.876389, "energy": 69.737251, "activity_lines": [ 10.301333, 10.636004, 11.617196, 12.145693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.45, "volume": 13685534, "typical_volume": 26151823.7, "trend": 12.664986, "fair_value": 10.530541, "relative_strength": -17.501735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.828457, "energy": 57.697503, "activity_lines": [ 10.322667, 10.525405, 11.44677, 11.998296 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.0, "volume": 19974072, "typical_volume": 23007838.5, "trend": 12.568986, "fair_value": 10.547156, "relative_strength": -14.984768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.503625, "energy": 48.125901, "activity_lines": [ 10.524667, 10.565925, 11.343915, 11.890877 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }