{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "858e1cde-abb5-4a30-8bb8-bb15a6270ccb",
    "symbol": "MJ",
    "name": "AMPLIFY ALTERNATIVE HARVEST ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.273,
    "architecture_energy": 56.55,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.382,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.203,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.05,
        "rotation_up": 12.05,
        "upward_expansion": 11.9,
        "deceleration": 38.66,
        "rotation_down": 63.65,
        "downward_expansion": 85.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.319227,
        23.889316,
        24.683526,
        24.867013
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.67,
    "trend_reference": 25.37714,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.067271,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 30.799572,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.231483,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.797076,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.108139,
    "excess_performance": -0.233764,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067271,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05863,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.231483,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086932,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247971,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152412,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108139,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.034753,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 108700,
      "relative_activity": 0.572228,
      "balance": 1.034753,
      "dry_up": 0.63842,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084181,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.322368,
      "from_high_reference": -0.483678,
      "from_low_reference": 0.124466
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.37714,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.799572,
      "structural_low": 21.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": -0.05658,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065413,
        "regime_survival": 0.904762,
        "best_return": 0.484983,
        "worst_return": -0.216529,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.071429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.928571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.175235,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.692475,
        "worst_return": -0.293244,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.293722,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.317256,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.475517,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.332969,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.488776,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.208093,
        "worst_return": -0.670379,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.165501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.418677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "relative_strength": -11.353269,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.275857,
        "energy": 68.92579,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.61476,
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          25.925032,
          27.009213
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 25.24,
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        "typical_volume": 326606.35,
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        "fair_value": 31.686127,
        "relative_strength": -11.802955,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 42.666544,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 339680.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -5.700529,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 232116.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 218264.35,
        "trend": 27.1314,
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        "relative_strength": -17.061649,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -21.49107,
        "energy": 11.890919,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -9.677781,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -16.024803,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 202339.25,
        "trend": 26.420139,
        "fair_value": 31.060051,
        "relative_strength": -23.05299,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.741963,
        "energy": 36.53042,
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          24.714,
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          25.565498
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.77,
        "volume": 141207,
        "typical_volume": 197087.15,
        "trend": 26.112227,
        "fair_value": 31.002156,
        "relative_strength": -21.973329,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.695922,
        "energy": 43.849008,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.341333,
          24.887636,
          25.216156,
          25.394521
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.7628,
        "volume": 127838,
        "typical_volume": 191057.2,
        "trend": 25.851807,
        "fair_value": 30.930911,
        "relative_strength": -24.689912,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.117084,
        "energy": 59.42997,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.738267,
          24.450327,
          24.990988,
          25.178429
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.95,
        "volume": 107350,
        "typical_volume": 190427.6,
        "trend": 25.59514,
        "fair_value": 30.858797,
        "relative_strength": -24.78136,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.736762,
        "energy": 64.086868,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.359413,
          24.085913,
          24.798587,
          24.991215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.67,
        "volume": 108700,
        "typical_volume": 189959.25,
        "trend": 25.37714,
        "fair_value": 30.799572,
        "relative_strength": -24.797076,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.272698,
        "energy": 56.549643,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.319227,
          23.889316,
          24.683526,
          24.867013
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}