{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8591c777-b73f-4864-92b6-90112f622ad0", "symbol": "IPC", "name": "International Paper Company", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.271, "architecture_energy": 63.522, "architecture_maturity": 93.323, "architecture_confidence": 73.968, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.02, "rotation_up": 27.97, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 62.09, "rotation_down": 49.97, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.686667, 29.087273, 656.13282, 1198.961706 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.5, "trend_reference": 1880.21738, "distance_from_trend": -0.983778, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3568.507009, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.991453, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.86949, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.99092, "excess_performance": -1.042155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.983778, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.339287, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.991453, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.630927, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.988695, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.695718, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.99092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.28072, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 574576, "relative_activity": 3.976393, "balance": 0.28072, "dry_up": 1.474147, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 7.852065, "annualized_volatility": 6.354505, "from_high_reference": -0.991918, "from_low_reference": 0.281513 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1880.21738, "fair_value_reference": 3568.507009, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.150095, "energy": 68.122916, "activity_lines": [ 28.503333, 158.199091, 927.827199, 1457.309878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.55, "volume": 136092, "typical_volume": 121788.9, "trend": 1983.83237, "fair_value": 3591.0871, "relative_strength": -98.897515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.687867, "energy": 67.342629, "activity_lines": [ 29.15, 72.789091, 785.294601, 1324.983149 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.5, "volume": 574576, "typical_volume": 144496.8, "trend": 1880.21738, "fair_value": 3568.507009, "relative_strength": -98.86949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.27069, "energy": 63.522435, "activity_lines": [ 29.686667, 29.087273, 656.13282, 1198.961706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }