{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "85a251e3-931f-4875-954c-caaf709a0f7e",
    "symbol": "CSCA",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC - iShares MSCI Canada ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.484,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.039,
    "architecture_energy": 87.186,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.135,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.053,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.93,
        "rotation_up": 79.61,
        "upward_expansion": 94.43,
        "deceleration": 44.41,
        "rotation_down": 13.16,
        "downward_expansion": 18.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        260.046407
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 274.549988,
    "trend_reference": 254.994999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.076688,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 201.436667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362959,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.503013,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.148072,
    "excess_performance": -0.02282,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076688,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046158,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.362959,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037785,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02503,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015804,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148072,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.081823,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9547,
      "relative_activity": 2.176996,
      "balance": 5.081823,
      "dry_up": 1.17019,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015371,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103217,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00131,
      "from_low_reference": 0.329154
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 254.994999,
      "fair_value_reference": 201.436667,
      "structural_low": 235.539993,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.012049,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004442,
        "regime_survival": 0.825,
        "best_return": 0.087957,
        "worst_return": -0.050282,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "worst_return": -0.11932,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.047663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 4524.0,
        "trend": 251.891999,
        "fair_value": 199.268847,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 86.816293,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1980,
        "typical_volume": 4327.95,
        "trend": 252.929666,
        "fair_value": 199.966411,
        "relative_strength": -0.592367,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 80.617647,
        "energy": 89.049554,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 268.0,
        "volume": 4378,
        "typical_volume": 4334.4,
        "trend": 253.947,
        "fair_value": 200.681731,
        "relative_strength": -1.976756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.344498,
        "energy": 79.65405,
        "activity_lines": [
          268.225332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 274.549988,
        "volume": 9547,
        "typical_volume": 4385.4,
        "trend": 254.994999,
        "fair_value": 201.436667,
        "relative_strength": -2.503013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.039426,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}