{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85aa4f77-84a1-47b1-b3db-597aad143884", "symbol": "XDWL", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.028, "architecture_energy": 69.19, "architecture_maturity": 80.438, "architecture_confidence": 81.802, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 58.04, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.3, "rotation_down": 28.53, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 114.175333, 113.652454, 111.930829, 109.611488 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 116.415001, "trend_reference": 106.90762, "distance_from_trend": 0.088931, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 90.406861, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287679, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.222511, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141833, "excess_performance": 0.077193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088931, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041703, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287679, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041166, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042225, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048984, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141833, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.505889, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108568, "relative_activity": 1.072578, "balance": 3.505889, "dry_up": 0.882179, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01719, "annualized_volatility": 0.107223, "from_high_reference": -0.001672, "from_low_reference": 0.241562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.90762, "fair_value_reference": 90.406861, "structural_low": 97.00881, 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109.588235, 107.551856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 113.004997, "volume": 93716, "typical_volume": 112695.3, "trend": 105.658086, "fair_value": 89.565678, "relative_strength": 8.05423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.764209, "energy": 76.402519, "activity_lines": [ 113.355, 112.737883, 110.170503, 108.053025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 113.434998, "volume": 66874, "typical_volume": 109677.25, "trend": 106.07889, "fair_value": 89.835341, "relative_strength": 6.978696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.833442, "energy": 65.135303, "activity_lines": [ 113.431666, 112.972818, 110.744678, 108.554762 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.514999, "volume": 88024, "typical_volume": 102832.25, "trend": 106.471844, "fair_value": 90.106986, "relative_strength": 3.700406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.5738, "energy": 60.630316, "activity_lines": [ 113.171665, 112.969999, 111.178979, 108.969994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 116.415001, "volume": 108568, "typical_volume": 101221.55, "trend": 106.90762, "fair_value": 90.406861, "relative_strength": 4.222511, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.028256, "energy": 69.189879, "activity_lines": [ 114.175333, 113.652454, 111.930829, 109.611488 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }