{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85d73b01-9a82-4463-a3f3-5914da6e08e7", "symbol": "U", "name": "Unity Software Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 79.95, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.699, "architecture_energy": 81.277, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.171, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.12, "rotation_up": 76.23, "upward_expansion": 90.69, "deceleration": 44.96, "rotation_down": 10.22, "downward_expansion": 17.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.438, 31.967818, 29.906095, 28.02286 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 43.0, "trend_reference": 26.974, "distance_from_trend": 0.594128, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.753782, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.549338, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.526162, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.712465, "excess_performance": 0.58684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.594128, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134552, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.549338, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.560093, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.155262, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.380944, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.712465, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.270449, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 105254860, "relative_activity": 1.974251, "balance": 1.270449, "dry_up": 1.006863, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101842, "annualized_volatility": 0.785783, "from_high_reference": -0.175455, "from_low_reference": 1.562574 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.974, "fair_value_reference": 27.753782, "structural_low": 16.78, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.077565, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.090803, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.317895, "worst_return": -0.437752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.127345, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.078028, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.247148, "worst_return": -0.515898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.079836, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.113394, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.543726, "worst_return": -0.30833, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -16.331565, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.478219, "energy": 27.171208, "activity_lines": [ 29.241333, 28.751636, 27.170762, 26.650882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.99, "volume": 30687485, "typical_volume": 54810751.9, "trend": 27.998333, "fair_value": 27.874679, "relative_strength": -19.607416, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.103675, "energy": 28.574037, "activity_lines": [ 29.360667, 28.864545, 27.539, 26.677376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.62, "volume": 35942013, "typical_volume": 52413312.1, "trend": 27.447333, "fair_value": 27.767179, "relative_strength": -19.742915, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.216154, "energy": 29.226739, "activity_lines": [ 29.24, 28.895091, 27.820762, 26.717484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.71, "volume": 42834514, "typical_volume": 51128628.55, "trend": 27.029333, "fair_value": 27.712949, "relative_strength": -11.71433, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.374159, "energy": 42.694579, "activity_lines": [ 30.073333, 29.460909, 28.355048, 26.992495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.0, "volume": 105254860, "typical_volume": 53313806.1, "trend": 26.974, "fair_value": 27.753782, "relative_strength": 15.526162, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.698697, "energy": 81.277398, "activity_lines": [ 34.438, 31.967818, 29.906095, 28.02286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }