{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85da9d29-dc93-4d08-8055-2292fb14ae4d", "symbol": "WIZC3", "name": "Wiz Co Participa\u00e7\u00f5es e Corretagem de Seguros S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 94.264, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.028, "architecture_energy": 17.741, "architecture_maturity": 29.034, "architecture_confidence": 56.049, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.5, "rotation_up": 30.66, "upward_expansion": 27.75, "deceleration": 46.58, "rotation_down": 27.36, "downward_expansion": 47.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.190667, 8.152, 8.149369, 8.288457 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.87, "trend_reference": 8.515085, "distance_from_trend": -0.075758, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.445836, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.886072, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.158828, "excess_performance": -0.101779, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075758, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00195, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220943, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055886, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078861, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071544, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.158828, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.292424, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1914300, "relative_activity": 1.224302, "balance": 1.292424, "dry_up": 0.838554, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04633, "annualized_volatility": 0.284643, "from_high_reference": -0.213987, "from_low_reference": 0.084032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.515085, "fair_value_reference": 6.445836, "structural_low": 7.41, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.044025, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.036796, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.215685, "worst_return": -0.158654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.00505, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.024431, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.285452, "worst_return": -0.112258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.01495, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.085819, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.459869, "worst_return": 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"active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044757, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.192308, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041212, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.17932, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028877, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.364835, "energy": 21.023701, "activity_lines": [ 8.138, 7.980727, 8.194, 8.37361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.41, "volume": 1003100, "typical_volume": 1856200.0, "trend": 8.556924, "fair_value": 6.39432, "relative_strength": -2.98748, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.339774, "energy": 26.421782, "activity_lines": [ 8.282, 8.067818, 8.196468, 8.364119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.26, "volume": 982500, "typical_volume": 1751025.0, "trend": 8.549875, "fair_value": 6.412521, "relative_strength": -4.776904, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.929154, "energy": 27.121275, "activity_lines": [ 8.322, 8.119273, 8.187361, 8.344962 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.35, "volume": 1344700, "typical_volume": 1651790.0, "trend": 8.545951, "fair_value": 6.429583, "relative_strength": -5.681136, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.973316, "energy": 22.834798, "activity_lines": [ 8.352, 8.182182, 8.190482, 8.332067 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.87, "volume": 1914300, "typical_volume": 1563585.0, "trend": 8.515085, "fair_value": 6.445836, "relative_strength": -7.886072, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.028299, "energy": 17.740867, "activity_lines": [ 8.190667, 8.152, 8.149369, 8.288457 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }