{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85ddd845-cb30-441a-b6d2-b18aea3f5ed9", "symbol": "Z1BR34", "name": "Zebra Technologies Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.259, "architecture_energy": 97.381, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.21, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.35, "rotation_up": 82.01, "upward_expansion": 92.98, "deceleration": 47.5, "rotation_down": 8.11, "downward_expansion": 21.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.433334, 46.371091, 43.595477, 42.213678 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 58.990002, "trend_reference": 41.364001, "distance_from_trend": 0.426119, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.793013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138957, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.368985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.355469, "excess_performance": 0.412517, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.426119, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.138957, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.42586, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.23369, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.596664, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.355469, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.85877, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175, "relative_activity": 1.126851, "balance": 0.85877, "dry_up": 0.338055, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044075, "annualized_volatility": 0.616718, "from_high_reference": -0.002199, "from_low_reference": 0.650532 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.364001, "fair_value_reference": 51.793013, "structural_low": 35.740002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.031488, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.015422, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.097044, "worst_return": -0.162672, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.121756, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.007864, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.393671, "worst_return": -0.268802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.034365, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.131458, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.276439, "worst_return": -0.395974, "sufficient": false }, { 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40.148581 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 41.130001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1791.8, "trend": 41.567, "fair_value": 51.803974, "relative_strength": -20.737787, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.483002, "energy": 42.782168, "activity_lines": [ 41.301334, 40.279637, 39.308858, 40.117872 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 41.130001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1096.8, "trend": 41.482, "fair_value": 51.717308, "relative_strength": -18.715682, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.09885, "energy": 39.713702, "activity_lines": [ 41.152001, 40.599455, 39.450858, 40.089678 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 40.52, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1054.2, "trend": 41.320667, "fair_value": 51.683718, "relative_strength": -21.244416, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.85028, "energy": 21.06943, "activity_lines": [ 40.942001, 40.715092, 39.537477, 40.027614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 40.52, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 960.6, "trend": 41.078001, "fair_value": 51.650128, "relative_strength": -20.845974, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.711651, "energy": 16.259913, "activity_lines": [ 40.764, 40.813273, 39.638382, 39.975958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.299999, "volume": 33, "typical_volume": 962.15, "trend": 41.011334, "fair_value": 51.65359, "relative_strength": -10.391457, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.185061, "energy": 45.208418, "activity_lines": [ 42.568667, 41.898182, 40.325429, 40.312861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.299999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 561.05, "trend": 40.944334, "fair_value": 51.657051, "relative_strength": -7.072216, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 60.608126, "energy": 81.873237, "activity_lines": [ 44.028666, 42.796364, 41.001762, 40.654065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.950001, "volume": 35, "typical_volume": 161.2, "trend": 40.899334, "fair_value": 51.645449, "relative_strength": -10.728516, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.468185, "energy": 75.845427, "activity_lines": [ 44.360667, 43.102546, 41.416858, 40.847979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.950001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 146.55, "trend": 40.872334, "fair_value": 51.671026, "relative_strength": -11.38942, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.861625, "energy": 86.318412, "activity_lines": [ 44.504667, 43.396364, 41.809524, 41.044796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.990002, "volume": 175, "typical_volume": 155.3, "trend": 41.364001, "fair_value": 51.793013, "relative_strength": 23.368985, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.258514, "energy": 97.38094, "activity_lines": [ 49.433334, 46.371091, 43.595477, 42.213678 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }