{ "ticker": { "uuid": "85f53bf4-7121-400d-9bf6-67932169304f", "symbol": "E2EF34", "name": "Euronet Worldwide, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.882, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 20.374, "architecture_energy": 18.229, "architecture_maturity": 15.898, "architecture_confidence": 45.9, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.62, "rotation_up": 42.49, "upward_expansion": 45.48, "deceleration": 45.18, "rotation_down": 31.31, "downward_expansion": 13.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.518, 2.512909, 2.447286, 2.430882 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.43, "trend_reference": 2.436333, "distance_from_trend": -0.0026, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.283462, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259927, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.436221, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.043307, "excess_performance": 0.013741, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0026, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029865, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259927, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07647, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134362, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.251578, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.043307, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.205537, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82, "relative_activity": 0.160376, "balance": 2.205537, "dry_up": 0.942206, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078822, "annualized_volatility": 0.427159, "from_high_reference": -0.319328, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.436333, "fair_value_reference": 3.283462, "structural_low": 2.16, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.007835, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.036829, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.120743, "worst_return": -0.074742, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.067006, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.047816, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.101493, "worst_return": 0.03252, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.026724, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.055951, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.155224, "worst_return": -0.208672, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.103825, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.16307, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.204204, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.113139, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.77, "volume": 172, "typical_volume": 726.7, "trend": 3.564667, "fair_value": 3.881385, "relative_strength": -25.852045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 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repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.876493, "energy": 60.635321, "activity_lines": [ 2.613333, 2.491818, 2.424524, 2.425269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.59, "volume": 241, "typical_volume": 500.9, "trend": 2.454667, "fair_value": 3.288269, "relative_strength": -10.978992, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.218805, "energy": 61.998488, "activity_lines": [ 2.634, 2.523455, 2.442143, 2.433484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.43, "volume": 423, "typical_volume": 513.25, "trend": 2.445667, "fair_value": 3.285833, "relative_strength": -17.124241, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.816347, "energy": 46.980467, "activity_lines": [ 2.577333, 2.52, 2.444476, 2.431892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.43, "volume": 82, "typical_volume": 511.3, "trend": 2.436333, "fair_value": 3.283462, "relative_strength": -13.436221, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.373565, "energy": 18.22923, "activity_lines": [ 2.518, 2.512909, 2.447286, 2.430882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }