{ "ticker": { "uuid": "86417583-7959-4ed8-b2a4-c5957d1218a7", "symbol": "NAIL", "name": "DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.991, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.795, "architecture_energy": 22.142, "architecture_maturity": 25.233, "architecture_confidence": 75.18, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.81, "rotation_up": 16.6, "upward_expansion": 12.27, "deceleration": 56.66, "rotation_down": 53.73, "downward_expansion": 68.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.329333, 43.109614, 42.281849, 43.569128 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.03, "trend_reference": 47.74017, "distance_from_trend": -0.056769, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.188734, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.445366, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.002327, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.3498, "excess_performance": -0.475424, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056769, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085245, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.445366, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290023, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123523, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3498, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.155348, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5907515, "relative_activity": 0.799718, "balance": 1.155348, "dry_up": 0.73879, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168756, "annualized_volatility": 0.900218, "from_high_reference": -0.543362, "from_low_reference": 0.523304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.74017, "fair_value_reference": 81.188734, "structural_low": 29.560744, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.05726, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.032729, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.469991, "worst_return": -0.307123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.219545, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.162936, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307668, "worst_return": -0.36939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.090061, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.126273, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.241878, "worst_return": -0.546952, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.586116, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.491618, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.943403, "worst_return": -0.586477, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.134429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118106, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.357896, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.267452, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016776, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.190629, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.055082, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.153744, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.116547, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.302707, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.23843, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.420965, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.506362, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.084756, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 66.871499, "volume": 1357800, "typical_volume": 1096088.7, "trend": 55.448203, "fair_value": 56.865136, "relative_strength": 43.336812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.381539, "energy": 41.902242, "activity_lines": [ 75.086543, 75.375595, 68.910138, 62.832385 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 63.849724, "volume": 1334100, "typical_volume": 1107233.5, "trend": 56.213472, "fair_value": 56.959365, "relative_strength": 34.103199, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.878444, "energy": 24.949016, "activity_lines": [ 70.777569, 73.569887, 69.037742, 63.374419 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 76.682459, "volume": 1014330, "typical_volume": 1110582.45, "trend": 57.184644, "fair_value": 57.176263, "relative_strength": 54.30846, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.823851, "energy": 24.759348, "activity_lines": [ 71.616079, 74.089511, 70.271192, 64.694999 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 68.549173, "volume": 1036792, "typical_volume": 1100442.2, "trend": 58.022511, "fair_value": 57.310577, "relative_strength": 37.793724, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.966774, "energy": 23.178239, "activity_lines": [ 70.144435, 72.954829, 70.572468, 65.428194 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 60.729839, "volume": 1393424, "typical_volume": 1117315.3, "trend": 58.656092, "fair_value": 57.390632, "relative_strength": 20.733032, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.977214, "energy": 15.505367, "activity_lines": [ 66.830947, 70.510473, 70.042522, 65.602861 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 54.835605, "volume": 1054619, "typical_volume": 1121460.75, "trend": 59.207874, "fair_value": 57.452764, "relative_strength": 11.084059, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.976899, "energy": 15.138405, "activity_lines": [ 62.663969, 67.081667, 68.918982, 65.356377 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 53.873577, "volume": 1211434, "typical_volume": 1147765.05, "trend": 59.631483, "fair_value": 57.444263, "relative_strength": 8.69385, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.683943, "energy": 31.483834, "activity_lines": [ 58.978708, 63.994499, 67.695258, 65.012229 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 49.397201, "volume": 1502478, "typical_volume": 1183766.0, "trend": 60.040751, "fair_value": 57.380315, "relative_strength": -1.568403, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.853214, "energy": 52.303671, "activity_lines": [ 54.466399, 60.512075, 66.042586, 64.351953 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 47.374978, "volume": 2151280, "typical_volume": 1191191.45, "trend": 60.311267, "fair_value": 57.307602, "relative_strength": -6.803461, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.602878, "energy": 62.991238, "activity_lines": [ 51.099032, 57.267418, 64.22157, 63.534806 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 41.229778, "volume": 1968884, "typical_volume": 1245581.25, "trend": 60.353849, "fair_value": 57.250127, "relative_strength": -17.462107, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.700656, "energy": 71.699453, "activity_lines": [ 47.094878, 53.498965, 61.826334, 62.303743 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 40.20885, "volume": 1651915, "typical_volume": 1270339.65, "trend": 60.230958, "fair_value": 57.260097, "relative_strength": -17.823127, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.555372, "energy": 73.21351, "activity_lines": [ 44.050418, 50.202504, 59.400511, 61.004065 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 57.682423, "volume": 2414308, "typical_volume": 1334685.05, "trend": 60.839617, "fair_value": 57.32494, "relative_strength": 10.099897, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.576307, "energy": 46.385346, "activity_lines": [ 47.8056, 50.567832, 58.729588, 60.839644 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 58.899683, "volume": 1421037, "typical_volume": 1371208.3, "trend": 61.349891, "fair_value": 57.409991, "relative_strength": 9.94625, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.717688, "energy": 34.633236, "activity_lines": [ 51.712613, 51.266613, 58.201895, 60.714487 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 68.863546, "volume": 1730114, "typical_volume": 1401048.7, "trend": 61.96603, "fair_value": 57.54914, "relative_strength": 24.029302, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.771295, "energy": 17.684815, "activity_lines": [ 58.307414, 54.100329, 58.66185, 61.199239 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 68.657397, "volume": 724466, "typical_volume": 1386013.0, "trend": 62.455954, "fair_value": 57.677883, "relative_strength": 20.998753, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.257474, "energy": 27.018942, "activity_lines": [ 63.400928, 56.890847, 59.130014, 61.63094 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 75.283612, "volume": 1187517, "typical_volume": 1379036.3, "trend": 63.197487, "fair_value": 57.884874, "relative_strength": 29.867209, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.905707, "energy": 40.341396, "activity_lines": [ 68.874672, 60.741994, 60.214342, 62.45853 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 85.365274, "volume": 1330468, "typical_volume": 1379279.45, "trend": 64.265593, "fair_value": 58.156868, "relative_strength": 44.539787, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.155346, "energy": 67.470465, "activity_lines": [ 75.370652, 66.054388, 62.296744, 63.88871 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 105.774014, "volume": 1943318, "typical_volume": 1421336.95, "trend": 65.975081, "fair_value": 58.508064, "relative_strength": 71.326704, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.157237, "energy": 90.574921, "activity_lines": [ 86.824023, 74.504886, 66.282516, 66.566673 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 107.154774, "volume": 1229357, "typical_volume": 1425334.2, "trend": 67.890483, "fair_value": 58.870365, "relative_strength": 68.420503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.881442, "energy": 96.206683, "activity_lines": [ 95.612691, 82.181399, 70.289897, 69.223427 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 107.743969, "volume": 594140, "typical_volume": 1412589.05, "trend": 69.641114, "fair_value": 59.271841, "relative_strength": 65.273879, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.222311, "energy": 93.41503, "activity_lines": [ 102.04501, 88.878132, 74.22417, 71.79462 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 97.766948, "volume": 1061102, "typical_volume": 1397754.15, "trend": 70.924466, "fair_value": 59.619073, "relative_strength": 49.857894, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.225043, "energy": 88.077888, "activity_lines": [ 102.545883, 92.551513, 77.063749, 73.60919 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 105.230074, "volume": 896711, "typical_volume": 1375884.7, "trend": 72.318281, "fair_value": 59.987894, "relative_strength": 55.741424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.38346, "energy": 85.210905, "activity_lines": [ 104.035575, 96.535315, 80.466981, 75.822455 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 108.57866, "volume": 734360, "typical_volume": 1361886.2, "trend": 73.703287, "fair_value": 60.292852, "relative_strength": 56.058934, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.069617, "energy": 67.946548, "activity_lines": [ 105.317143, 100.263448, 83.992076, 78.161834 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 98.454341, "volume": 1918918, "typical_volume": 1405992.5, "trend": 74.49475, "fair_value": 60.588356, "relative_strength": 38.224767, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.861748, "energy": 55.23011, "activity_lines": [ 103.036962, 101.247541, 86.401064, 79.758676 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 105.377372, "volume": 1268862, "typical_volume": 1399764.4, "trend": 75.823083, "fair_value": 60.856003, "relative_strength": 44.045937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.449981, "energy": 56.572933, "activity_lines": [ 103.644487, 102.952353, 89.326983, 81.751104 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 108.529561, "volume": 1010248, "typical_volume": 1397545.85, "trend": 76.665868, "fair_value": 61.116917, "relative_strength": 44.292431, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.926667, "energy": 54.681666, "activity_lines": [ 105.460514, 104.562654, 92.340502, 83.861199 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 104.847097, "volume": 1558617, "typical_volume": 1414905.0, "trend": 77.597495, "fair_value": 61.387117, "relative_strength": 37.995718, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.132567, "energy": 47.438058, "activity_lines": [ 105.331546, 104.898945, 94.747626, 85.679343 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 115.63917, "volume": 780444, "typical_volume": 1378803.3, "trend": 78.695581, "fair_value": 61.779748, "relative_strength": 47.286201, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.611489, "energy": 54.026553, "activity_lines": [ 108.825467, 106.843216, 97.939835, 88.133644 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 128.090806, "volume": 701917, "typical_volume": 1306335.15, "trend": 80.298002, "fair_value": 62.23522, "relative_strength": 58.666303, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.115389, "energy": 62.305164, "activity_lines": [ 115.999233, 110.872054, 102.002476, 91.320433 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 128.355944, "volume": 777536, "typical_volume": 1246767.75, "trend": 81.996578, "fair_value": 62.648474, "relative_strength": 56.418798, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.717314, "energy": 70.090603, "activity_lines": [ 121.285614, 114.568444, 105.706007, 94.420945 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 121.64895, "volume": 1147352, "typical_volume": 1221539.6, "trend": 83.822493, "fair_value": 63.001255, "relative_strength": 45.949773, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.506408, "energy": 74.425213, "activity_lines": [ 122.804425, 116.670617, 108.35589, 96.979163 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 141.973248, "volume": 1099487, "typical_volume": 1155798.55, "trend": 86.426611, "fair_value": 63.414028, "relative_strength": 63.34917, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.145167, "energy": 84.242091, "activity_lines": [ 130.223377, 122.033899, 112.553611, 100.730825 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 148.944578, "volume": 524689, "typical_volume": 1110981.15, "trend": 88.835348, "fair_value": 63.854447, "relative_strength": 67.364383, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.790544, "energy": 83.253419, "activity_lines": [ 137.491028, 127.996637, 117.013883, 104.764242 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 133.035394, "volume": 975307, "typical_volume": 1073240.8, "trend": 90.984889, "fair_value": 64.151975, "relative_strength": 48.165115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.068596, "energy": 59.215668, "activity_lines": [ 137.235258, 130.332872, 119.530209, 107.615858 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 116.172445, "volume": 1221623, "typical_volume": 1098098.65, "trend": 92.832976, "fair_value": 64.30225, "relative_strength": 29.575047, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.769096, "energy": 49.431395, "activity_lines": [ 131.028865, 128.974368, 120.13496, 109.240861 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 100.351754, "volume": 1215078, "typical_volume": 1099476.7, "trend": 94.350181, "fair_value": 64.373289, "relative_strength": 14.488975, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.227498, "energy": 19.905488, "activity_lines": [ 120.361142, 124.543102, 119.006716, 109.725944 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 109.918896, "volume": 1170468, "typical_volume": 1091476.7, "trend": 96.218358, "fair_value": 64.479218, "relative_strength": 21.058537, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.023781, "energy": 23.879465, "activity_lines": [ 114.30228, 122.000003, 118.670257, 110.730377 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 114.57956, "volume": 959232, "typical_volume": 1042272.4, "trend": 98.391103, "fair_value": 64.519983, "relative_strength": 24.19115, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.498582, "energy": 23.72281, "activity_lines": [ 111.933929, 120.212084, 118.660749, 111.914971 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 118.040643, "volume": 676486, "typical_volume": 1014628.85, "trend": 100.746625, "fair_value": 64.702408, "relative_strength": 24.335216, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.381731, "energy": 20.117593, "activity_lines": [ 113.010273, 119.072717, 118.938936, 113.182683 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 117.598175, "volume": 1000797, "typical_volume": 1034961.7, "trend": 103.292239, "fair_value": 64.961749, "relative_strength": 20.707941, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.598237, "energy": 10.386688, "activity_lines": [ 114.938778, 118.035633, 119.123146, 114.26988 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 104.530619, "volume": 1097124, "typical_volume": 1036762.8, "trend": 105.436298, "fair_value": 65.081753, "relative_strength": 6.435862, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.329304, "energy": 5.55913, "activity_lines": [ 112.416383, 114.818224, 118.015902, 114.349775 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 108.296513, "volume": 832215, "typical_volume": 1033538.0, "trend": 107.123434, "fair_value": 65.257223, "relative_strength": 9.855691, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.69684, "energy": 8.103075, "activity_lines": [ 110.870694, 112.596767, 117.235106, 114.534305 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 95.396112, "volume": 995374, "typical_volume": 1046588.7, "trend": 108.339982, "fair_value": 65.402498, "relative_strength": -4.813372, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.866374, "energy": 32.563427, "activity_lines": [ 105.133031, 108.642085, 115.211099, 113.777704 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 100.322256, "volume": 1522300, "typical_volume": 1026757.8, "trend": 109.388605, "fair_value": 65.594763, "relative_strength": -1.90714, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.943093, "energy": 38.510456, "activity_lines": [ 102.316312, 106.556675, 113.719023, 113.260431 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 96.802177, "volume": 909738, "typical_volume": 1008801.6, "trend": 110.326765, "fair_value": 65.749552, "relative_strength": -6.152853, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.13017, "energy": 47.417825, "activity_lines": [ 99.507459, 104.426035, 111.882806, 112.448404 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 91.888154, "volume": 1223533, "typical_volume": 1019465.85, "trend": 110.880249, "fair_value": 65.833936, "relative_strength": -10.850694, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.547124, "energy": 53.031137, "activity_lines": [ 96.446999, 101.754123, 109.619421, 111.258816 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 81.982216, "volume": 1124027, "typical_volume": 997736.35, "trend": 110.767481, "fair_value": 65.887837, "relative_strength": -21.926265, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.841362, "energy": 69.924337, "activity_lines": [ 90.92739, 97.435015, 106.491858, 109.394427 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 111.572149, "volume": 3025534, "typical_volume": 1109990.85, "trend": 110.960752, "fair_value": 66.177778, "relative_strength": 5.116716, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.248341, "energy": 39.65332, "activity_lines": [ 97.025379, 99.003835, 106.291265, 109.446341 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 128.560784, "volume": 4349346, "typical_volume": 1292362.3, "trend": 111.674285, "fair_value": 66.499498, "relative_strength": 22.780403, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.401249, "energy": 8.44631, "activity_lines": [ 107.707843, 103.716177, 107.728003, 110.581827 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 143.621352, "volume": 3009902, "typical_volume": 1403980.6, "trend": 112.870198, "fair_value": 66.891322, "relative_strength": 37.199781, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.843004, "energy": 30.939425, "activity_lines": [ 121.527929, 110.975529, 110.596844, 112.642928 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 131.206958, "volume": 3200623, "typical_volume": 1506644.15, "trend": 113.984865, "fair_value": 67.204507, "relative_strength": 27.232556, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.334534, "energy": 34.85622, "activity_lines": [ 128.088604, 115.50457, 112.210669, 113.825944 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 118.084295, "volume": 3348635, "typical_volume": 1619101.55, "trend": 114.413339, "fair_value": 67.391534, "relative_strength": 13.97348, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.849312, "energy": 31.303015, "activity_lines": [ 127.653805, 117.162648, 112.529201, 114.090424 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 124.429211, "volume": 1786438, "typical_volume": 1682189.0, "trend": 114.941691, "fair_value": 67.65319, "relative_strength": 14.693991, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.753249, "energy": 37.64687, "activity_lines": [ 126.927173, 119.796387, 113.565769, 114.736609 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 154.609369, "volume": 2469403, "typical_volume": 1756893.8, "trend": 116.813525, "fair_value": 68.071595, "relative_strength": 38.786476, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.143453, "energy": 57.242842, "activity_lines": [ 135.403456, 127.389553, 117.593377, 117.295814 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 145.88388, "volume": 1840580, "typical_volume": 1787841.65, "trend": 118.163742, "fair_value": 68.452174, "relative_strength": 29.507308, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.139374, "energy": 47.792906, "activity_lines": [ 139.23467, 132.409228, 120.687253, 119.171321 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 132.712031, "volume": 1603260, "typical_volume": 1807250.75, "trend": 118.969825, "fair_value": 68.806895, "relative_strength": 21.848246, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.338689, "energy": 44.202144, "activity_lines": [ 138.524433, 134.141627, 122.385184, 120.10992 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 155.396335, "volume": 2129747, "typical_volume": 1855214.7, "trend": 120.654799, "fair_value": 69.304836, "relative_strength": 35.395494, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.52544, "energy": 60.823252, "activity_lines": [ 145.275293, 139.256193, 126.089429, 122.460018 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 160.688684, "volume": 2756066, "typical_volume": 1945056.4, "trend": 122.15645, "fair_value": 69.866836, "relative_strength": 36.082264, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.577318, "energy": 57.655273, "activity_lines": [ 151.302799, 143.998201, 130.081147, 125.042849 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 164.982614, "volume": 1691823, "typical_volume": 1995823.25, "trend": 123.386177, "fair_value": 70.509927, "relative_strength": 36.892205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.697989, "energy": 59.903453, "activity_lines": [ 156.344317, 148.627897, 134.262244, 127.805827 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 152.666802, "volume": 1698404, "typical_volume": 2030703.6, "trend": 124.196538, "fair_value": 71.062418, "relative_strength": 24.636041, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.529048, "energy": 55.112527, "activity_lines": [ 156.589015, 150.356138, 137.046874, 129.6949 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 152.331812, "volume": 1085170, "typical_volume": 2030105.9, "trend": 125.219301, "fair_value": 71.573793, "relative_strength": 21.292775, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.079115, "energy": 45.061448, "activity_lines": [ 156.269854, 151.85901, 139.632606, 131.510079 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 173.337661, "volume": 1405067, "typical_volume": 2058748.5, "trend": 126.264781, "fair_value": 72.175528, "relative_strength": 34.480971, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.87993, "energy": 52.397126, "activity_lines": [ 161.644658, 156.797039, 143.99127, 134.614489 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 136.567573, "volume": 2208924, "typical_volume": 2119426.0, "trend": 125.852214, "fair_value": 72.528965, "relative_strength": 5.709495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.892248, "energy": 28.186417, "activity_lines": [ 153.566678, 154.04499, 144.538302, 135.279185 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 126.764187, "volume": 2030359, "typical_volume": 2144828.95, "trend": 125.643174, "fair_value": 72.767247, "relative_strength": -1.248832, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.622723, "energy": 14.259582, "activity_lines": [ 143.828976, 149.28981, 143.955623, 135.338022 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 138.922356, "volume": 2424276, "typical_volume": 2220555.85, "trend": 126.401504, "fair_value": 73.028459, "relative_strength": 2.462636, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.156667, "energy": 17.549344, "activity_lines": [ 140.691892, 147.251483, 144.404951, 136.194744 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 127.089325, "volume": 1635729, "typical_volume": 2241165.65, "trend": 127.292757, "fair_value": 73.16915, "relative_strength": -4.776143, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.576419, "energy": 16.187668, "activity_lines": [ 134.526761, 143.188268, 143.526751, 136.239119 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 135.296581, "volume": 963218, "typical_volume": 2233125.2, "trend": 128.138679, "fair_value": 73.402986, "relative_strength": -0.909994, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.814693, "energy": 18.129045, "activity_lines": [ 132.780215, 140.719513, 143.26257, 136.755495 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 146.144348, "volume": 1485278, "typical_volume": 2156112.4, "trend": 129.190839, "fair_value": 73.662879, "relative_strength": 5.111242, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.561075, "energy": 12.396026, "activity_lines": [ 137.185663, 140.588529, 143.777632, 137.917151 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 129.11897, "volume": 1104885, "typical_volume": 1993889.35, "trend": 129.560117, "fair_value": 73.701744, "relative_strength": -8.124564, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.234148, "energy": 9.130225, "activity_lines": [ 135.277533, 137.626464, 142.5066, 137.912514 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 110.004831, "volume": 1341817, "typical_volume": 1910485.1, "trend": 129.307005, "fair_value": 73.762426, "relative_strength": -20.960258, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.745179, "energy": 31.099374, "activity_lines": [ 126.841038, 131.841168, 139.412516, 136.650883 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 86.42744, "volume": 2711134, "typical_volume": 1886010.65, "trend": 128.703566, "fair_value": 73.611014, "relative_strength": -36.29973, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.7855, "energy": 54.834919, "activity_lines": [ 112.473247, 122.544745, 134.233044, 133.884459 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 84.461975, "volume": 1129778, "typical_volume": 1775067.8, "trend": 127.909081, "fair_value": 73.376834, "relative_strength": -37.694694, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.348895, "energy": 71.306502, "activity_lines": [ 100.161094, 114.089226, 129.079621, 131.030163 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 82.815524, "volume": 1386244, "typical_volume": 1755058.1, "trend": 127.489728, "fair_value": 73.331264, "relative_strength": -38.219461, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.619933, "energy": 75.807688, "activity_lines": [ 90.689098, 106.950275, 123.9295, 128.120901 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 76.219859, "volume": 1933368, "typical_volume": 1728256.35, "trend": 126.686315, "fair_value": 73.213593, "relative_strength": -41.559317, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.966439, "energy": 88.588546, "activity_lines": [ 83.240468, 99.589421, 118.34938, 124.813168 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 96.608252, "volume": 2818246, "typical_volume": 1777139.65, "trend": 126.679851, "fair_value": 73.390883, "relative_strength": -27.634586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.046811, "energy": 79.494432, "activity_lines": [ 86.114577, 96.854536, 115.084296, 122.872648 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 95.030813, "volume": 1598174, "typical_volume": 1776885.35, "trend": 126.784606, "fair_value": 73.569778, "relative_strength": -29.740719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.563159, "energy": 68.482558, "activity_lines": [ 89.355978, 94.602191, 111.903625, 120.830774 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 90.594267, "volume": 2680288, "typical_volume": 1804412.4, "trend": 127.071675, "fair_value": 73.745668, "relative_strength": -31.951871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.653346, "energy": 51.759383, "activity_lines": [ 90.544972, 92.126083, 108.47986, 118.495914 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 79.187415, "volume": 3540023, "typical_volume": 1843610.25, "trend": 125.992183, "fair_value": 73.862096, "relative_strength": -39.959223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.297152, "energy": 53.195068, "activity_lines": [ 87.522863, 88.388772, 104.278309, 115.406607 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 80.143737, "volume": 3026441, "typical_volume": 1910341.15, "trend": 124.378282, "fair_value": 73.991858, "relative_strength": -39.6955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.985772, "energy": 54.585589, "activity_lines": [ 85.061402, 86.042736, 100.555939, 112.448642 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 68.618577, "volume": 3064174, "typical_volume": 1978629.65, "trend": 121.878189, "fair_value": 74.056387, "relative_strength": -46.983962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.702372, "energy": 71.499352, "activity_lines": [ 78.496628, 82.491675, 96.139928, 108.851242 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 69.624194, "volume": 2644766, "typical_volume": 2056609.45, "trend": 119.825431, "fair_value": 74.133439, "relative_strength": -45.020056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.340007, "energy": 81.333877, "activity_lines": [ 74.133039, 79.875931, 92.219921, 105.480017 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 71.329799, "volume": 2153338, "typical_volume": 2094023.0, "trend": 118.266947, "fair_value": 74.261333, "relative_strength": -41.196511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.340191, "energy": 79.142217, "activity_lines": [ 72.031759, 77.875811, 88.856197, 102.351266 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 61.756719, "volume": 2266960, "typical_volume": 2096924.8, "trend": 116.177864, "fair_value": 74.266651, "relative_strength": -47.270965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.9787, "energy": 86.343504, "activity_lines": [ 68.023751, 74.373897, 85.066504, 98.705445 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 61.628552, "volume": 1793894, "typical_volume": 2085101.55, "trend": 113.078504, "fair_value": 74.378029, "relative_strength": -46.830953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.396696, "energy": 85.703468, "activity_lines": [ 65.135067, 71.231568, 81.620846, 95.186135 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 60.138383, "volume": 1594852, "typical_volume": 2043630.35, "trend": 110.220321, "fair_value": 74.50222, "relative_strength": -46.436885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.571333, "energy": 76.095552, "activity_lines": [ 62.984005, 68.083595, 78.343437, 91.770643 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 56.039166, "volume": 2898388, "typical_volume": 2106763.3, "trend": 107.664558, "fair_value": 74.636533, "relative_strength": -44.321953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.261354, "energy": 69.294529, "activity_lines": [ 60.031884, 64.853399, 75.050788, 88.275084 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 48.843205, "volume": 4115032, "typical_volume": 2264354.0, "trend": 104.112787, "fair_value": 74.718767, "relative_strength": -53.452545, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.274133, "energy": 68.14574, "activity_lines": [ 55.586777, 61.023785, 71.411144, 84.480158 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 48.069019, "volume": 1239301, "typical_volume": 2252055.15, "trend": 100.358799, "fair_value": 74.801425, "relative_strength": -53.011235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.749866, "energy": 68.89082, "activity_lines": [ 52.382715, 57.81252, 68.10945, 80.864431 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 51.354348, "volume": 1743092, "typical_volume": 2283965.5, "trend": 96.57119, "fair_value": 74.902199, "relative_strength": -51.404005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.390877, "energy": 64.050368, "activity_lines": [ 51.186276, 55.764377, 65.587671, 77.702854 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 55.344384, "volume": 1418662, "typical_volume": 2287807.75, "trend": 93.327109, "fair_value": 75.020907, "relative_strength": -48.449989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.183322, "energy": 60.018431, "activity_lines": [ 52.004796, 54.965139, 63.816202, 75.04306 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 52.35682, "volume": 1531125, "typical_volume": 2228807.3, "trend": 89.994609, "fair_value": 75.129173, "relative_strength": -50.334169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.448924, "energy": 55.151412, "activity_lines": [ 52.147062, 53.864056, 62.020492, 72.399816 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 57.577613, "volume": 2447774, "typical_volume": 2294707.1, "trend": 86.135941, "fair_value": 75.28807, "relative_strength": -47.433536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.831296, "energy": 42.175382, "activity_lines": [ 54.275081, 54.02616, 60.88424, 70.308397 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 47.622373, "volume": 2373056, "typical_volume": 2344047.7, "trend": 83.171101, "fair_value": 75.340426, "relative_strength": -54.834813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.757815, "energy": 47.565634, "activity_lines": [ 52.502393, 52.62826, 58.927892, 67.82365 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 46.848187, "volume": 1890664, "typical_volume": 2341912.5, "trend": 80.507234, "fair_value": 75.393707, "relative_strength": -55.743471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.388666, "energy": 49.125865, "activity_lines": [ 50.501419, 51.346588, 57.065398, 65.480236 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 48.7241, "volume": 2856491, "typical_volume": 2343824.75, "trend": 77.500626, "fair_value": 75.505061, "relative_strength": -54.232354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.87398, "energy": 46.755798, "activity_lines": [ 49.426161, 50.674724, 55.521427, 63.429712 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 47.632299, "volume": 4106208, "typical_volume": 2469226.45, "trend": 74.852058, "fair_value": 75.682779, "relative_strength": -54.569502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.580501, "energy": 50.145437, "activity_lines": [ 48.428321, 50.011884, 54.101495, 61.502723 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 47.136026, "volume": 4049411, "typical_volume": 2537682.6, "trend": 71.913373, "fair_value": 75.821606, "relative_strength": -54.470092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.108942, "energy": 48.232171, "activity_lines": [ 47.580025, 49.411664, 52.860007, 59.714592 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 52.719698, "volume": 4291285, "typical_volume": 2575245.7, "trend": 68.799218, "fair_value": 75.984948, "relative_strength": -50.317831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.108955, "energy": 39.300847, "activity_lines": [ 49.289059, 49.857697, 52.35724, 58.47629 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 58.128124, "volume": 5471710, "typical_volume": 2697509.15, "trend": 66.432857, "fair_value": 76.162536, "relative_strength": -45.792197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.214652, "energy": 23.902383, "activity_lines": [ 52.461079, 51.202522, 52.495599, 57.787832 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 62.032549, "volume": 5632946, "typical_volume": 2825947.75, "trend": 64.833781, "fair_value": 76.361268, "relative_strength": -41.318688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.351995, "energy": 11.711693, "activity_lines": [ 56.182579, 53.134083, 53.110643, 57.503942 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 54.930878, "volume": 6401911, "typical_volume": 3013805.0, "trend": 63.783895, "fair_value": 76.479706, "relative_strength": -47.473362, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.468131, "energy": 17.139217, "activity_lines": [ 56.649625, 53.652829, 53.0807, 56.865045 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 63.546509, "volume": 7323360, "typical_volume": 3272306.1, "trend": 63.086713, "fair_value": 76.648924, "relative_strength": -38.964159, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.902125, "energy": 19.131229, "activity_lines": [ 59.501977, 55.691251, 53.941262, 56.849729 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 62.540522, "volume": 5799580, "typical_volume": 3448937.1, "trend": 62.41088, "fair_value": 76.82059, "relative_strength": -37.348231, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.443039, "energy": 19.038353, "activity_lines": [ 60.924967, 57.438242, 54.743079, 56.814491 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 69.622273, "volume": 4707524, "typical_volume": 3594618.6, "trend": 62.19096, "fair_value": 77.011589, "relative_strength": -30.995366, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.535628, "energy": 43.702424, "activity_lines": [ 64.053819, 60.201584, 56.215615, 57.279742 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 80.747892, "volume": 7517726, "typical_volume": 3890762.3, "trend": 61.662281, "fair_value": 77.307299, "relative_strength": -19.75526, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.78842, "energy": 65.563137, "activity_lines": [ 70.124934, 64.573692, 58.709669, 58.476964 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 87.122464, "volume": 7913218, "typical_volume": 4141503.8, "trend": 61.39867, "fair_value": 77.672502, "relative_strength": -12.121143, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.355414, "energy": 74.073141, "activity_lines": [ 77.073217, 69.522563, 61.712685, 60.119556 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 82.102489, "volume": 4286532, "typical_volume": 4150078.8, "trend": 61.11561, "fair_value": 78.025762, "relative_strength": -15.730003, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.568823, "energy": 81.439516, "activity_lines": [ 80.20207, 72.840707, 64.089592, 61.455287 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 95.469168, "volume": 5128592, "typical_volume": 4344543.35, "trend": 61.658336, "fair_value": 78.446099, "relative_strength": -1.067899, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.269037, "energy": 88.573718, "activity_lines": [ 86.549416, 77.953403, 67.581139, 63.671645 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 87.839603, "volume": 7722362, "typical_volume": 4643506.85, "trend": 61.914864, "fair_value": 78.85186, "relative_strength": -8.658457, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.335378, "energy": 80.214025, "activity_lines": [ 88.158332, 80.901643, 70.120345, 65.360759 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 76.96299, "volume": 10829294, "typical_volume": 5114038.45, "trend": 62.193012, "fair_value": 79.198738, "relative_strength": -19.140547, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.179652, "energy": 51.986462, "activity_lines": [ 84.927221, 81.332107, 71.449945, 66.331606 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 72.623188, "volume": 7561523, "typical_volume": 5415558.35, "trend": 62.292978, "fair_value": 79.527632, "relative_strength": -21.564196, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.126044, "energy": 38.496863, "activity_lines": [ 80.501836, 80.702054, 72.263283, 67.004521 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 77.269955, "volume": 5404499, "typical_volume": 5563394.6, "trend": 62.490983, "fair_value": 79.865263, "relative_strength": -15.67975, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.31218, "energy": 26.406778, "activity_lines": [ 78.591991, 80.59519, 73.422665, 67.970777 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 58.473483, "volume": 11567765, "typical_volume": 6023130.05, "trend": 62.381542, "fair_value": 80.106587, "relative_strength": -32.947521, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.682463, "energy": 19.617926, "activity_lines": [ 70.738825, 76.821268, 72.698134, 67.711584 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 64.715707, "volume": 6871756, "typical_volume": 6272184.65, "trend": 62.484447, "fair_value": 80.387549, "relative_strength": -24.866365, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.44757, "energy": 21.670266, "activity_lines": [ 67.43278, 74.256242, 72.516428, 67.862175 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 65.353889, "volume": 5064731, "typical_volume": 6382596.65, "trend": 62.658297, "fair_value": 80.635639, "relative_strength": -23.962215, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.050099, "energy": 18.923298, "activity_lines": [ 65.881055, 71.896459, 72.310417, 68.0473 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 58.652972, "volume": 7247241, "typical_volume": 6539648.3, "trend": 62.745424, "fair_value": 80.867149, "relative_strength": -30.7853, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.167088, "energy": 24.477454, "activity_lines": [ 62.869631, 68.598219, 71.387035, 67.788892 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 55.252655, "volume": 4781402, "typical_volume": 6576247.85, "trend": 62.959073, "fair_value": 81.023736, "relative_strength": -32.115726, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.274914, "energy": 38.882003, "activity_lines": [ 59.656115, 65.199366, 70.087334, 67.305488 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 52.600208, "volume": 4460286, "typical_volume": 6584697.9, "trend": 63.110112, "fair_value": 81.184684, "relative_strength": -33.988054, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.563904, "energy": 53.779337, "activity_lines": [ 57.026271, 61.806429, 68.496368, 66.637174 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 54.405069, "volume": 6015805, "typical_volume": 6611902.65, "trend": 63.211803, "fair_value": 81.343355, "relative_strength": -28.681901, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.856306, "energy": 54.488052, "activity_lines": [ 55.389598, 59.521084, 67.077863, 66.075558 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 63.289767, "volume": 4420490, "typical_volume": 6551279.85, "trend": 63.476649, "fair_value": 81.547265, "relative_strength": -17.907658, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.166217, "energy": 34.557154, "activity_lines": [ 57.401868, 59.45904, 66.523248, 66.080588 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 60.687179, "volume": 4688924, "typical_volume": 6465630.5, "trend": 63.754328, "fair_value": 81.74276, "relative_strength": -19.818461, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.783726, "energy": 25.756902, "activity_lines": [ 58.684216, 59.172402, 65.714781, 65.900622 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 59.719933, "volume": 6600478, "typical_volume": 6429486.4, "trend": 63.825738, "fair_value": 81.918523, "relative_strength": -19.282099, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.152931, "energy": 15.314953, "activity_lines": [ 59.508535, 58.926919, 64.786784, 65.640339 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 52.759754, "volume": 5189532, "typical_volume": 6398984.0, "trend": 63.996984, "fair_value": 82.059318, "relative_strength": -27.87852, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.693956, "energy": 23.229508, "activity_lines": [ 57.714976, 57.73504, 63.214135, 64.926404 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 52.365913, "volume": 2639221, "typical_volume": 6295568.85, "trend": 64.180909, "fair_value": 82.202913, "relative_strength": -28.558808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.635855, "energy": 43.657742, "activity_lines": [ 55.7795, 56.57544, 61.650552, 64.176012 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 51.357725, "volume": 2657777, "typical_volume": 6052571.4, "trend": 64.268696, "fair_value": 82.30941, "relative_strength": -28.34067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.605353, "energy": 58.899536, "activity_lines": [ 53.643906, 55.457075, 60.073124, 63.34871 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 66.440625, "volume": 9845859, "typical_volume": 6149203.45, "trend": 64.89564, "fair_value": 82.48346, "relative_strength": -8.126347, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.021487, "energy": 31.375089, "activity_lines": [ 57.331414, 57.335531, 60.072117, 63.488835 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 68.217433, "volume": 7653179, "typical_volume": 6317535.8, "trend": 65.598354, "fair_value": 82.679676, "relative_strength": -4.192545, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.274445, "energy": 12.185455, "activity_lines": [ 61.227628, 59.395449, 60.338814, 63.703144 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 62.54762, "volume": 5379408, "typical_volume": 6330076.6, "trend": 65.925951, "fair_value": 82.818496, "relative_strength": -10.721868, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.734072, "energy": 16.450628, "activity_lines": [ 62.667405, 60.188769, 60.131648, 63.506322 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 57.08743, "volume": 6546531, "typical_volume": 6271285.05, "trend": 65.891261, "fair_value": 82.879651, "relative_strength": -17.752134, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.766241, "energy": 21.171128, "activity_lines": [ 61.634594, 59.808465, 59.561233, 62.936095 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 69.255568, "volume": 9785300, "typical_volume": 6219085.35, "trend": 66.132029, "fair_value": 83.045307, "relative_strength": 0.611929, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.037774, "energy": 13.291258, "activity_lines": [ 64.343061, 61.59178, 60.296128, 63.153147 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 77.460825, "volume": 5903913, "typical_volume": 6136204.85, "trend": 66.883027, "fair_value": 83.2744, "relative_strength": 14.423897, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.177133, "energy": 35.784095, "activity_lines": [ 68.593424, 64.75849, 61.849178, 63.884037 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 71.990653, "volume": 3235053, "typical_volume": 6027732.55, "trend": 67.164498, "fair_value": 83.49048, "relative_strength": 5.389342, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.254121, "energy": 40.278955, "activity_lines": [ 70.285717, 66.625648, 62.858222, 64.213562 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 65.332616, "volume": 6199278, "typical_volume": 5759308.2, "trend": 67.257568, "fair_value": 83.645398, "relative_strength": -3.441082, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.038018, "energy": 35.404846, "activity_lines": [ 69.507116, 67.05915, 63.258307, 64.095376 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 49.580917, "volume": 9213664, "typical_volume": 5876403.6, "trend": 66.589523, "fair_value": 83.725281, "relative_strength": -24.478907, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.724953, "energy": 20.028022, "activity_lines": [ 63.292282, 64.40011, 62.125568, 62.954947 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 41.685104, "volume": 15256357, "typical_volume": 6385984.9, "trend": 65.28743, "fair_value": 83.74083, "relative_strength": -34.922214, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.932673, "energy": 40.928333, "activity_lines": [ 54.945944, 60.356103, 60.312918, 61.34821 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 35.456295, "volume": 9241012, "typical_volume": 6485673.45, "trend": 63.565224, "fair_value": 83.712009, "relative_strength": -43.00036, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.81669, "energy": 75.770704, "activity_lines": [ 46.361368, 55.355451, 58.019755, 59.42362 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 36.01, "volume": 7182840, "typical_volume": 6605745.35, "trend": 62.028808, "fair_value": 83.661461, "relative_strength": -40.156139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.721216, "energy": 82.422925, "activity_lines": [ 40.761663, 51.018825, 55.889787, 57.645864 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 37.36, "volume": 7036663, "typical_volume": 6734564.2, "trend": 60.091836, "fair_value": 83.648239, "relative_strength": -39.291478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.870505, "energy": 81.697058, "activity_lines": [ 38.010667, 47.513242, 53.980022, 56.054328 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 42.16, "volume": 8229058, "typical_volume": 6845226.85, "trend": 58.569182, "fair_value": 83.639063, "relative_strength": -33.458606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.960579, "energy": 78.902933, "activity_lines": [ 38.724513, 45.338344, 52.599973, 54.897435 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 46.8, "volume": 7819569, "typical_volume": 7015180.8, "trend": 57.563749, "fair_value": 83.616118, "relative_strength": -28.938657, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.523955, "energy": 49.898991, "activity_lines": [ 41.479753, 44.27849, 51.720138, 54.138133 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 48.815633, "volume": 8376873, "typical_volume": 7199578.25, "trend": 56.770164, "fair_value": 83.583143, "relative_strength": -25.873633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.168266, "energy": 33.466674, "activity_lines": [ 44.565878, 43.993397, 51.11079, 53.573739 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 42.131293, "volume": 6969366, "typical_volume": 7218022.65, "trend": 55.598876, "fair_value": 83.513231, "relative_strength": -36.082332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.678105, "energy": 28.679862, "activity_lines": [ 44.533266, 43.013792, 49.92137, 52.629295 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 39.228095, "volume": 9921707, "typical_volume": 7454631.4, "trend": 54.957363, "fair_value": 83.422885, "relative_strength": -41.354663, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.747528, "energy": 32.400094, "activity_lines": [ 43.124836, 42.04923, 48.539211, 51.573116 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 31.276724, "volume": 10502868, "typical_volume": 7847813.75, "trend": 53.84273, "fair_value": 83.274086, "relative_strength": -52.782168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.457193, "energy": 51.37394, "activity_lines": [ 38.94141, 40.113592, 46.464214, 50.045333 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 36.015621, "volume": 9780193, "typical_volume": 8203934.55, "trend": 52.864788, "fair_value": 83.186412, "relative_strength": -45.693302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.456458, "energy": 65.846395, "activity_lines": [ 37.063167, 39.372375, 44.940966, 48.895197 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 38.380081, "volume": 7126577, "typical_volume": 8067970.45, "trend": 52.189025, "fair_value": 83.078432, "relative_strength": -42.589086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.527009, "energy": 65.4515, "activity_lines": [ 36.692036, 39.164141, 43.715962, 47.9607 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 38.130666, "volume": 7336776, "typical_volume": 8052150.3, "trend": 51.618292, "fair_value": 82.942946, "relative_strength": -41.106621, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.649185, "energy": 65.645368, "activity_lines": [ 36.933471, 38.8574, 42.600826, 47.053709 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 42.919446, "volume": 9914774, "typical_volume": 8278918.6, "trend": 51.295599, "fair_value": 82.81156, "relative_strength": -33.754183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.709186, "energy": 37.709474, "activity_lines": [ 39.037874, 39.382788, 42.085035, 46.492493 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 45.643065, "volume": 8366650, "typical_volume": 8369924.55, "trend": 51.003533, "fair_value": 82.674475, "relative_strength": -29.90545, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.055156, "energy": 20.863646, "activity_lines": [ 41.804059, 40.302299, 41.922103, 46.127813 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 53.41, "volume": 8329093, "typical_volume": 8297114.2, "trend": 50.674207, "fair_value": 82.537933, "relative_strength": -15.73119, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.648424, "energy": 16.906745, "activity_lines": [ 46.201467, 42.570651, 42.553376, 46.283069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 49.2, "volume": 3667150, "typical_volume": 8185276.05, "trend": 50.291301, "fair_value": 82.43327, "relative_strength": -23.547183, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.137108, "energy": 20.82083, "activity_lines": [ 48.035917, 43.953367, 42.859152, 46.187959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 42.1, "volume": 5350100, "typical_volume": 8291028.4, "trend": 49.70397, "fair_value": 82.169514, "relative_strength": -34.811215, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.841494, "energy": 19.815301, "activity_lines": [ 46.782372, 44.038185, 42.623313, 45.659488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.26, "volume": 4624542, "typical_volume": 8212291.6, "trend": 49.320645, "fair_value": 81.941063, "relative_strength": -34.624903, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.115133, "energy": 15.663263, "activity_lines": [ 44.984204, 43.970845, 42.44981, 45.114716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.71, "volume": 5577847, "typical_volume": 8030500.75, "trend": 48.932114, "fair_value": 81.671919, "relative_strength": -34.436374, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.740818, "energy": 19.264732, "activity_lines": [ 43.113333, 43.766562, 42.338558, 44.55919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.01, "volume": 5719854, "typical_volume": 7553675.6, "trend": 48.453857, "fair_value": 81.396225, "relative_strength": -40.329209, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.30987, "energy": 33.328682, "activity_lines": [ 40.338, 42.718037, 41.917168, 43.790022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.03, "volume": 5907515, "typical_volume": 7387000.75, "trend": 47.74017, "fair_value": 81.188734, "relative_strength": -29.002327, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.795066, "energy": 22.141772, "activity_lines": [ 41.329333, 43.109614, 42.281849, 43.569128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }