{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "864f24cb-aab7-419a-b6cc-4ff941b35052",
    "symbol": "1301",
    "name": "United Wire Factories Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 4.37,
    "architecture_energy": 3.976,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.845,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.681,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 68.63,
        "rotation_up": 25.48,
        "upward_expansion": 24.21,
        "deceleration": 47.55,
        "rotation_down": 27.03,
        "downward_expansion": 50.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.835334,
        16.692364,
        16.664572,
        16.796215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 18.23,
    "trend_reference": 17.203667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059658,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.441909,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.25415,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.648558,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.046049,
    "excess_performance": -0.01422,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059658,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081688,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25415,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082374,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046486,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138313,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046049,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.656596,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1809838,
      "relative_activity": 4.875594,
      "balance": 1.656596,
      "dry_up": 1.664715,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058146,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.319763,
      "from_high_reference": -0.286039,
      "from_low_reference": 0.207285
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.203667,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.441909,
      "structural_low": 15.1,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": -0.004433,
        "positive_rate": 0.441176,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.558824,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00919,
        "regime_survival": 0.852941,
        "best_return": 0.134991,
        "worst_return": -0.181141,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.002777,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.191956,
        "worst_return": -0.191356,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 6.4e-05,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.015617,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.300704,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.35978,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 285758.7,
        "trend": 17.466667,
        "fair_value": 24.719734,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.480596,
        "energy": 19.675124,
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          16.602001,
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          16.915161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.030001,
        "volume": 178617,
        "typical_volume": 279571.95,
        "trend": 17.335667,
        "fair_value": 24.616243,
        "relative_strength": -16.644517,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 28.177506,
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          16.402667,
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          16.822473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.93,
        "volume": 255016,
        "typical_volume": 284149.85,
        "trend": 17.231333,
        "fair_value": 24.520598,
        "relative_strength": -15.027501,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.010399,
        "energy": 34.683451,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.225334,
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          16.520429,
          16.731785
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.23,
        "volume": 1809838,
        "typical_volume": 371203.6,
        "trend": 17.203667,
        "fair_value": 24.441909,
        "relative_strength": -4.648558,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 4.370042,
        "energy": 3.976219,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.835334,
          16.692364,
          16.664572,
          16.796215
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}