{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8653dea5-a171-464a-b6d0-81bc7cfddef3",
    "symbol": "LGT",
    "name": "Lingotes Especiales, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.408,
    "architecture_energy": 37.145,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.543,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.736,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.83,
        "rotation_up": 45.24,
        "upward_expansion": 75.29,
        "deceleration": 60.41,
        "rotation_down": 24.42,
        "downward_expansion": 4.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.629333,
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        5.568333,
        5.504645
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.66,
    "trend_reference": 5.434,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04159,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.233916,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092064,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.936006,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.007018,
    "excess_performance": -0.131448,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04159,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024896,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092064,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061151,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11936,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023817,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007018,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.784105,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8518,
      "relative_activity": 0.211972,
      "balance": 0.784105,
      "dry_up": 0.264088,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027997,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130092,
      "from_high_reference": -0.135878,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174274
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.434,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.233916,
      "structural_low": 4.96,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.034248,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053065,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.190508,
        "worst_return": -0.122727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.074918,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.080679,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 66979.6,
        "trend": 5.310667,
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        "energy": 27.035849,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 38.684534,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "energy": 30.737022,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 64729.3,
        "trend": 5.304667,
        "fair_value": 6.335074,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.676892,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -11.037326,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 60.528885,
        "energy": 62.913812,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 42043.3,
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        "fair_value": 6.290815,
        "relative_strength": -14.689525,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 59.707501,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 8769,
        "typical_volume": 41747.2,
        "trend": 5.357667,
        "fair_value": 6.277437,
        "relative_strength": -12.794922,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.53126,
        "energy": 39.810932,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.608,
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          5.440323
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.64,
        "volume": 4811,
        "typical_volume": 40457.95,
        "trend": 5.375667,
        "fair_value": 6.267384,
        "relative_strength": -10.05561,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.390795,
        "energy": 34.308451,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.612,
          5.601455,
          5.514429,
          5.458538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.66,
        "volume": 13921,
        "typical_volume": 39695.2,
        "trend": 5.396,
        "fair_value": 6.25538,
        "relative_strength": -10.719633,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.056038,
        "energy": 34.575909,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.625333,
          5.618545,
          5.536762,
          5.476882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.58,
        "volume": 15199,
        "typical_volume": 40197.4,
        "trend": 5.413667,
        "fair_value": 6.244086,
        "relative_strength": -12.096719,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.885412,
        "energy": 30.202011,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.613333,
          5.615636,
          5.549524,
          5.488753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.66,
        "volume": 8518,
        "typical_volume": 40184.5,
        "trend": 5.434,
        "fair_value": 6.233916,
        "relative_strength": -11.936006,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.408118,
        "energy": 37.145371,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.629333,
          5.625818,
          5.568333,
          5.504645
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}